Fingers crossed.
Data from Italy suggests an uncontrolled outbreak may be bending the curve at 4 weeks. This is good news for us in the US as we are in the middle of an uncontrolled outbreak ourselves.
The question will be, if these numbers prove out, how low will the infection rate get and how to maintain a manageable rate of infection.
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Yeh, I saw some reports putting a dent in that a little by saying that Italy is losing ground on testing so that is what is causing the number of cases to flatten out.
I don't know though. That could be a factor but I think the death rate is flattening out a bit too. Can't remember. Even the death rate is tough one to interpret because you could have a reduction in new cases but still have a high death rate because the system is so overwhelmed now.
It will all sort itself out over the next few days. As I said, no good news will be overlooked though.