Cornel West, Progressive Scholar, Announces Third-Party Bid for President

[exGOPer]

No president with double digit net disapproval at this point has made it back to net positive approval by election day.

Since 2008 the candidate in RCPs head to head polling at this time has won the popular vote.

He is at 43% already, all he needs is 5 more points.

 

[exGOPer]

 

[Tony Stark]

The key, he said, is not a president’s absolute level of approval in that period but its trajectory: Approval ratings for Ronald Reagan, Clinton, and Barack Obama, each of whom won reelection, were all clearly rising by early in their fourth year. By contrast, the approval ratings over that period fell for George H. W. Bush and remained stagnant for Trump. Each lost his reelection bid

https://www.theatlantic.com/politic...024-reelection-bid-chances-popularity/673844/

At 43%, Biden's Job Approval Rating Highest Since August

https://news.gallup.com/poll/507863/biden-job-approval-rating-highest-august.aspx

Approval ratings for Ronald Reagan, Clinton, and Barack Obama were not double digit upside down at this point.

 

[Tony Stark]

He is at 43% already, all he needs is 5 more points.

In net approval he needs 11-15 points.Disapproval is stubbornly hard to move.Its also a better indicater because its people that are pissed and eager to vote against you.

 

[exGOPer]

In net approval he needs 11-15 points.Disapproval is stubbornly hard to move.Its also a better indicater because its people that are pissed and eager to vote against you.

Rising approval rating means disapproval goes lower.

43 + 5
54 - 5

 

[Tony Stark]

View attachment 318981

 

[Tony Stark]

Rising approval rating means disapproval goes lower.

43 + 5
54 - 5

Not necessarily as approval/ disapproval doesn't always equal 100 in polling

 

[exGOPer]

And? Biden started lower, trends look exactly the same which means it would climb back which it already is if you look at your favorite Gallup poll.

 

[exGOPer]

Not necessarily as approval/ disapproval doesn't always equal 100 in polling

Doesn't have to, will be close enough to parity.

 

[Tony Stark]

And? Biden started lower, trends look exactly the same which means it would climb back which it already is if you look at your favorite Gallup poll.

Aggregate is my favorite poll.

Good luck climbing back up net 14 points,its never happened before.