convexx's stfu journal

[convexx]

ES and YM just went positive.

 

[vinc]

hey, how's this 100 000$ bet coming? if it's on, you'll probably win this one as well..
seems like whatever you touch turns into gold a bit like Midas except he wasn't that clever..

 

[convexx]

haha vin, if you only knew (wager guy).

I'd also reco a small (1 lot) NDX PF here; Sep monthly 4000P/C 3x1 at 139.70 CR. I will update risk to strike and straddle combo relationship after the close.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/yj5dfn1xhllr12g/2014-09-02_1233.png?dl=0

13% on the vol-line, so I am inclined to keep it here at 132.

 

[convexx]

I'd also reco a small (1 lot) NDX PF here; Sep monthly 4000P/C 3x1 at 139.70 CR. I will update risk to strike and straddle combo relationship after the close.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/yj5dfn1xhllr12g/2014-09-02_1233.png?dl=0

131 out. +9.70. Return calc will be on $150K RegT req.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/ymw5eodosg4y7uj/2014-09-05_0817.png?dl=0

 

[vinc]

I was wondering how many people actually follow these calls with real money..if it's not that much 'capacity constrained ' there should be quite a following.. hey people out there, do you place your bets after being given a free signal?? come and say thanks this is better than Xmas !

 

[samuel11]

I did a fly on SPY ytday (196 - 200 - 204) for 1.95 after his on SPX. Current mark mid 2.23.

So yea, thanks!

Edit: out 2.20. +12% on debit

 

[scr12]

I have done couple of PF's in past based on his idea and currently on SPX fly. I will probably close that on 2000 touch today.

So yeah, kudo's for posting his trades and thanks. These are much more educational than simple calls of buy and sell delta1's.

 

[scr12]

closed my SPX trade.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/uhdtdeq5whom6is/Snap6.png?dl=0

 

[convexx]

New trade reco. Long the Sep11 SPX 60/00/40 call fly from 21.00. This can be traded aggressively (10% allo). I prefer calls on microstructure as I expect to invert D shortly.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/397n14s1ukdg6rk/2014-09-04_0933.png?dl=0

Out 23.70. Thesis has changed with a 2003 print on SPX. Drop in vola on payrolls and we're a bit below where I entered on SPX cash (2006). 12.8% on debit. 1.28% on portfolio. YW.

 

[convexx]

An idea. If you trade it then "like" the specific trade-post, in lieu of replying, but either is fine. I appreciate the feedback, and it will be assumed that you were on-board. I am flat here. I will be adding exposure soon. For sure some SN, but perhaps an index trade as well. I'll update stats this weekend.