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Contra's FX Journal
- Thread starter contra
- Start date
Quote from atticus:
It's confirmed that Oanda exotics are officially dead in all countires served by Oanda. Dodd Frank, huh? Doesn't have anything to do with your shit-ass model? It was great while it lasted.
Thanks Mr. Olsen.
you raped them. damnit... just when i was getting into it!
this only leaves me with more motivation to get into EQ options then.
I've got a USDJPY long DNT expiring in 1W at the NY Fix. 77.35/79.65 for 356/450k notional in USD. CB won't allow a sustained hit below 78 and no significant news in this end of Summer period. Neutral to 47. Bid in EU continental crosses will keep USD under pressure against yen as well. Upside in USDJPY likely capped at 78.8 or so. Love the trade.
Quote from contra:
you raped them. damnit... just when i was getting into it!
this only leaves me with more motivation to get into EQ options then.
I slept 19 hours the entire week, so I'll say that Eq is a far better mkt in as far as quality of life goes. I took 3 Bendaryl last night as the kids are all in camp and not another soul in the house. First good sleep in over a week.
Touches and permutations are very tough. The models are based on 2nd moments (to vol; vanna/volga) so you know you're generating massive gammas on any moves. It's a very tough market to hedge unless you're initial delta position is large. The secondary mkt is shit even close to expiration and if you're sitting neutral. I prefer single touches and spot, but you're not seeing anywhere near the gearing as you're not getting treatment on the spot position.
I literally fell asleep in the drive-thru at InNOut Burger.
Quote from atticus:
I've got a USDJPY long DNT expiring in 1W at the NY Fix. 77.35/79.65 for 356/450k notional in USD. CB won't allow a sustained hit below 78 and no significant news in this end of Summer period. Neutral to 47. Bid in EU continental crosses will keep USD under pressure against yen as well. Upside in USDJPY likely capped at 78.8 or so. Love the trade.
Beauty... I read today there are "agents" protecting the downside. this trade should be money.
was just trying to find it but I cant. and for the topside...
"talks Japanese exporters, trust banks, real money are looking to sell on rallies - given the Summer holidays. So topside likely to be capped"
Quote from atticus:
I slept 19 hours the entire week, so I'll say that Eq is a far better mkt in as far as quality of life goes. I took 3 Bendaryl last night as the kids are all in camp and not another soul in the house. First good sleep in over a week.
Touches and permutations are very tough. The models are based on 3rd moments (vanna/volga) so you know you're generating massive gammas on any moves. It's a very tough market to hedge unless you're initial delta position is large. The secondary mkt is shit even close to expiration and if you're sitting neutral. I prefer single touches and spot, but you're not seeing anywhere near the gearing as you're not getting treatment on the spot position.
I literally fell asleep in the drive-thru at InNOut Burger.
haha, damn well now you can rest easy. thanks for the info. FX has me messed up too on the hours here in NY.
btw... inNout burger was awesome... we don't have it here sadly, but when I was in Cali I had the pleasure. You can get the trays on the side of the car too, old school style.. which was, I should say, hella cool!