conspiracy theories

Quote from xflat2186:

I guess you're not aware that the futures have time decay and since the different month options are based on different futures there is real decay there. Not to mention the fact that the further out future trades above/below the cost to carry based on speculation.

Keep up the great work!
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ha,ha,ha.....i was really wondering how many billions the hedge fund industry lost last year on betting that the future curve in the oil market MUST tighten before expiration :D
a couple months ago you might have seen the same......when the goverment started to talk about commodity market regulations,and you freinds from GS started to run like rabbits out of the "near" oil futures:D
and the contango widened almost as much as a mouth of a massage "therapist" at a happy ending spa:D

but......the lobby dollars looks like are strong enough to discourage the spark of moral "issues" that some democrats started to suffer from:D

how was the the rule:
if you can't beat them,buy them:D

there are new rules coming into effect november.....we shall see if somebody will be fined, or the rabbits are gonna run for their life short before that,or the new regulations are just the usual de ja vu,that i am used to see throughout the last couple years......
 
What makes you think hedge funds lost in the crude markets last year?

Lets see on the one hand there are fimrs like GS who we know makes a ton of money and has some of the brightest people in the industry. On the othr hand we have an anonymous internet forum poster claiming he uses GS and then out smarts them and who missed in plain English what I said about the futures decay.

I guess the readers of this forum can decide for themselves who did better in the crude markets.

LOL
 
Quote from xflat2186:


Lets see on the one hand there are fimrs like GS who we know makes a ton of money and has some of the brightest people in the industry. On the othr hand we have an anonymous internet forum poster claiming he uses GS and then out smarts them and who missed in plain English what I said about the futures decay.

I guess the readers of this forum can decide for themselves who did better in the crude markets.

LOL
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well,never said something about smartness or who has bigger balls,or who is more handsome:D
but if we talk about "outsmarting" let me give you my point of view:
a think that everybody,who is capable of working for himself from home and work whenever he wants is more succesfull than the avarage investment banker,who MUST go everyday to work for somebody else,to wake up early and battle with the traffic,and dream the whole year what he is going to do with his 3 week anual vacation.......
for me peolpe,who work for a company are incapable to manage their own money,so they manage somebody else's .......
the the eighties are far gone now,and believe it or not,today you can make your money from home,than to pay your broker or get a soaring feet at the pits:D
the profession "broker","money manager","financial adviser :D " and so on,have a kind of different meaning nowdays,to what it meant before:D

before was an inevitable part of the game,today is a synonym of incapability.

it just a different point of view-you admire the "brightest" GS white collar "brains",i sympathise them
:D

and about your "advises" on the future decay.........in my world we call in contango/backwardation markets...or you can get away with future curve,but future decay :D ........its a new meaning for me,but excuse my english vocabulary......its as poor as and average phd "financial adviser" at a mutual fund :D
 
Here is the issue, a mutual fund is not something that has a “financial advisor” or any of those other terms. I was not speaking about GS in terms of a brokerage company.


It’s wonderful that you claim to make a nice living from home and you insinuate you have a PhD. Do you really want to compare income with one of the “traders” or portfolio managers at GS?
In fact the only real issue here is the size of the ego on an anonymous internet poster who now indicates he can work from home and make more than a trader/portfolio manager at GS. If it makes you feel better about yourself to continue to imply all those ego stroking things you have mentioned feel free to continue. This is the internet and no one expects everyone to be able to handle the anonymity of the place. There are always those who believe it’s somehow impressive to post about income, education or how the beat the markets from their couch in their boxers. Yawn
 
Quote from acen1975:

well,thanks for the history lesson.
actually,to be correct i am collecting put options by buying calendar OTM spreads,not buying just naked puts.
and......these money were easy made-last year,when your history lesson had proven wrong:D
i am just hoping that goldman will show to "upgrade" the oil to over 100$.......this will be the last sign for me,to believe,that oil is going to crush:D
so i am waiting for them to say something like the economy improved and the oil supply is "tightening"......and right away i am getting fully invested in my put collectables:D
if i am wrong-thats the life of the speculator-i pay with my own money for my mistakes.......but actually these money were also made last year,when goldman said in mid summer,they expect the oil to go to 200$:D ........
i kind of have a feeling ,that next week we might see the first dive......just before expiration.....
i love goldman......they think they can rule the commodity markets,and actually they really do........but if you know how to read between the lines their "predictions",you might find it not very hard to make money......
this corelation between equity and oil is really about time to break apart.....

besides,goldman play to use taxpayers(my) money,through the tarp,to bubble up the oil in elasticity frame of high supply/low demand with over a 100% spike is a great act of patriotism :mad:
giving a hand to the russians and arabs is such a good gesture, i am overflown with passion about their good "faith" commitment.
and as you already rose the history "talk",i would suggest that you give it a thought about which are the usa executive branches,cause they might not be exactly the same ones,you red about in history class :D
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What a load of steaming gebberish!
 
There is no profits to be had for the OP since at first he claimed he was buying puts on the way up and then ammended his story to time spreads on the way up. SO now we had a bit of a pull back at best his positions have moved back closer to break even for him, thats at best. Yet he still has a nice big anonymous ego and no matter what happens in the market we already know he'll claim to make a profit.
 
Quote from xflat2186:

There is no profits to be had for the OP since at first he claimed he was buying puts on the way up and then ammended his story to time spreads on the way up. SO now we had a bit of a pull back at best his positions have moved back closer to break even for him, thats at best. Yet he still has a nice big anonymous ego and no matter what happens in the market we already know he'll claim to make a profit.
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It must have been one of those evening/weekend LIVE TRADES that you monitor

:)
 
so what is the conspiracy theory here to be exact? i posted two-three weeks ago in the forex forum that i think usd is gonna go up (on a weekly or monthly basis)...so far its been going up but it might be a blow off.
 
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