Conservative Options Trades

danshirley puts people on ignore, log outs to read their posts, and then logs back in to reply to the people he has on ignore.

Laughing%2520Hysterically.gif




:)
 
He still has not addressed why he is posting on this option forum and not on the JOURNAL link ET has set up.
I think we all know why.
He could do exactly the same thing on the journal link.
And it would be exactly as easy for him to access for posting and reviewing.
Yet he posts here instead.
He obviously craves the public attention, and he fears he won't get it on the JOURNAL site.
Hence the reason he won't go there, and the reason he won't explain why he won't go there.
He will now pretend to have me on ignore.
LOL!
 
 
CWT:

http://www.fool.com/investing/etf/2...ter-stocks.aspx

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/calif...-204100557.html

http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...s-sales-bu.aspx

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=CWT+Profile

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CWT+Key+Statistics

http://investing.money.msn.com/inve...ents?symbol=CWT

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5y&...&ql=1&c=^GSPC

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CWT...l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

CWT pays a 3.4% dividend.

Trade:

Sell the Dec 17.50 put for .60... actually I sold it yesterday before it bounced.

(EEEKKS I just sold a naked put)

Yield = 60/1690 = 3.55% in 140 days or 9.26% annualized

My intent with this naked short put is to be put at 17.50. This will allow me to make the 3.4% dividend and sell calls for another 6% at least for a continued net ann yield in the area of 9.4%.

BTW I have tried repeatedly in the past to be put with CWT but it just doesn't happen. It's OK because the yield on the naked put is about equal to the dividend + CC.

We'll see if this time is the charm.

(Sorry but I don't have a headquarters picture for CWT)
 
HUM:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...st-as-medicare-costs-increase.html?cmpid=yhoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/humana-cuts-outlook-following-weak-224859543.html

http://news.investors.com/article/6...tate-earnings-this-week.htm?ven=yahoocp,yahoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=HUM+Key+Statistics

http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=hum

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=HUM&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

Bearish Trade:
Jan 85/87.5 bear call spread for $37
Yield = 37/213= 17.4% in 171 days or 37.1% annualized
Prob = 82%
Expectation = .82(37) - .15(213) - .03(106) = 30.3 - 31.9 - 3.2 = -4.8

Bullish Trade:
Jan 55/50 bull put spread for $55
Yield = 55/445 = 12.4% in 171 days or 26% annualized
Prob = 83%
Expectation = .83(55) - .08(445) - .09(222) = 45.6 - 35.6 - 20 = -10

Both at once??

220px-Humana.jpg[img]
 
 
HUM:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...st-as-medicare-costs-increase.html?cmpid=yhoo
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/humana-cuts-outlook-following-weak-224859543.html
http://news.investors.com/article/6...tate-earnings-this-week.htm?ven=yahoocp,yahoo
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=HUM+Key+Statistics
http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=hum
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=HUM&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
Bearish Trade:
Jan 85/87.5 bear call spread for $37
Yield = 37/213= 17.4% in 171 days or 37.1% annualized
Prob = 82%
Expectation = .82(37) - .15(213) - .03(106) = 30.3 - 31.9 - 3.2 = -4.8

Bullish Trade:
Jan 55/50 bull put spread for $55
Yield = 55/445 = 12.4% in 171 days or 26% annualized
Prob = 83%
Expectation = .83(55) - .08(445) - .09(222) = 45.6 - 35.6 - 20 = -10

Both at once??
220px-Humana.jpg
 
CWT:
http://www.fool.com/investing/etf/2012/06/15/make-money-in-promising-water-stocks.aspx
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/california-water-group-announces-second-204100557.html
http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...a-water-service-group-increases-sales-bu.aspx
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=CWT+Profile
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CWT+Key+Statistics
http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=CWT
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5y&s=CWT&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1&c=^GSPC
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CWT&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

CWT pays a 3.4% dividend.

Trade:

Sell the Dec 17.50 put for .60... actually I sold it yesterday before it bounced.

(EEEKKS I just sold a naked put)

Yield = 60/1690 = 3.55% in 140 days or 9.26% annualized

My intent with this naked short put is to be put at 17.50. This will allow me to make the 3.4% dividend and sell calls for another 6% at least for a continued net ann yield in the area of 9.4%.

BTW I have tried repeatedly in the past to be put with CWT but it just doesn't happen. It's OK because the yield on the naked put is about equal to the dividend + CC.

We'll see if this time is the charm.

images
 
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