What I meant is that you made it sound easy and as such I would have expected that you made more than 500 bucks.
Red day for me. Long off the Open which I scratched at B/E on no follow through. In hindsight, that 09:50 reversal bar was a big clue, but I had potential support below so didn't have the guts or conviction to short it just yet.
Went short at 4128 at 10:35 - just near a swing low. Had the chance to scratch it, but decided to give it some room to breathe as I felt confident we'd see at least 4120 today. Stopped out at 34, reversed long misreading the retracement and the market reversed lower again 2.25 points higher stopping me out for another loss.
At that point I wasn't interested in chasing the short side any longer and took a break. Took a final loss trying to pick a bottom around 4100 anticipating a retracement higher off the lows.
So, the market made a fool of me today. Or rather, I made a fool of myself.
Trend days down on ES closing at the very low are fairly rare. I count only three prior this year over 77 trading days.
The prior one being the 9th of March - seeing continuation lower the next day. Generally, I'd say the odds of new lows tomorrow are very high, but it may not be another trend day. Maybe a range bound day.