Comp Sci prof who doesn't think much of crypto

Give it time to settle. Its still all very early. But when it does settle, the entire world will be using the guaranteed honesty of the network and the price for this will be very high indeed.

There are a few unknown factors with that:
  • Nobody knows if it will ever settle.
  • If the price will be high most people will give up sooner or later.
  • Seeing what progress was made since the start of BTC, it can still take decades before, what fans hope will happen, will be achieved.
  • Many attempts to invent something ends in a failure.
  • The longer it takes to make the invention work, the more investors will abandon ship.
  • Many inventions never reach the level they were expected to reach.
  • Successful inventions are being copied quickly and reduce the financial benefits, and can even wipeout the profits completelly if the competitor is better.
  • There are now over 10,000 crypto's. Who will survive?

Watching history:
  • Netscape beaten by Microsoft.
  • Lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheet beaten by Microsoft Office.
  • Blackberry beaten by Iphone.
  • AOL beaten by ...
  • Betamax beaten by VHS.
  • General Motors beaten by Tesla.
  • ...
BTC beaten by ???
Maybe BTC will make it in this list:https://stacker.com/stories/2525/30-biggest-scams-modern-history
 
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The thread below made that kind of statements too. Let's see below where we are now as we are a few years further.

Your statement has as only purpose to push people to buy and they can never attack you as you will say:"wait till 1/1/2030." That's the optimal answer to cover a scam and give it a few years of time. Ponzi systems need to buy time as much as possible, to maximize their profits. When the time is gone, people go to jail. Like Madoff.

With a theoretical lineair growth till 2022, all the periodical returns are behind around 75%.
The underperforming of BTC grew systematically and BTC was never able to beat the lineair growth.
Today the value of 1 BTC should have been $257,979.22, but is in reality 92.10% behind. So there is $237,597.57 missing for each coin.
BTC needs a miracle to reach the 10MM by 2028.
The, over 4 years, weakness and inability to even beat the lineair growth tells everything.

WHOA!! WTF??!!

Did I just get unblocked by virtusa-is-liar??

virtusa-is-a-liar, you must be getting very desperate, I'm going to bet that you have lost most of your clients because they got tired of losing money with you, am I right or am I right??

virtusa-is-a-liar, your ass-kissing is no longer working on the rich??

Why don't you post your fake winning trades here and maybe we can invest $5 or $10 for you to lose just for entertainment, BWAHAHAHAHAHAH

  • Bitcoin will be worth $500K each before 12/31/2025
  • Bitcoin will be worth $1M each before 12/31/2029

And you, virtusa-is-a-liar will continue to suffer losing clients

virtusa-is-a-liar, you can keep eating you know what from dirty diapers so you can afford to buy a burger or something :D:D:D
 
  • Bitcoin will be worth $500K each before 12/31/2025
  • Bitcoin will be worth $1M each before 12/31/2029
Bitcoin, Bitcoin, Bitcoin. As far as the eye can see...

bitcoin_eyes.jpg
 
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WHOA!! WTF??!!

Did I just get unblocked by virtusa-is-liar??

virtusa-is-a-liar, you must be getting very desperate, I'm going to bet that you have lost most of your clients because they got tired of losing money with you, am I right or am I right??

virtusa-is-a-liar, your ass-kissing is no longer working on the rich??

Why don't you post your fake winning trades here and maybe we can invest $5 or $10 for you to lose just for entertainment, BWAHAHAHAHAHAH

  • Bitcoin will be worth $500K each before 12/31/2025
  • Bitcoin will be worth $1M each before 12/31/2029

And you, virtusa-is-a-liar will continue to suffer losing clients

virtusa-is-a-liar, you can keep eating you know what from dirty diapers so you can afford to buy a burger or something :D:D:D

You really sound like a Russian:
  • Making up stories without any proof.
  • I have no clients, I never post any trade and I surely don't need your small money. You clearly have mental problems as you cannot distinguish the difference between reality and your fantasy world.
  • Writing language that is used by marginal and uneducated people, like from a small Russian village.
  • If you watch the excel I posted you should become desperate (but you lack the intelligence probably, no ... certainly). You imagine things, I show hard proof. But crypto fans don't like real numbers, they prefer to live in a fantasy world.
 
You really sound like a Russian:
  • Making up stories without any proof.
  • I have no clients, I never post any trade and I surely don't need your small money. You clearly have mental problems as you cannot distinguish the difference between reality and your fantasy world.
  • Writing language that is used by marginal and uneducated people, like from a small Russian village.
  • If you watch the excel I posted you should become desperate (but you lack the intelligence probably, no ... certainly). You imagine things, I show hard proof. But crypto fans don't like real numbers, they prefer to live in a fantasy world.

Whoa, you hate Russians, too, virtusa-is-a-liar??

Did you get violated in your anus by the Russians, virtusa-is-a-liar?? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

You can't keep your lies from being exposed, virtusa-is-a-liar!!

You said you're a CTA, a cuckold trading advisor, virtusa-is-a-liar and now you're denying that you have clients??

Why don't you post a screenshot of your trades, virtusa-is-a-liar??

We promise we on't laugh too much at the small value of your trades, virtusa-is-a-liar BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
 
A bag of true and completely false information. For example, wealth is not always inherited, it is often times self-made. What is true is that the tax and corporate system greatly favors elites at the expense of the middle class which leads to a society that is out of balance. The only way to prevent riots and a revolution is to manipulate the masses into thinking the American dream is alive and well and that anyone who works hard can make it. That is not true. Riches, especially enormous riches, are a very complicated combination of pure luck, hard work, smarts, and good timing. Not everyone who works hard gets rich.

He didn't suggest otherwise. He just pointed to its snowballing effect.

I cannot find a single fault with his presentation.

I suspect you both are describing sides of the same coin.

Without having watched the video (saving it on my watch list for weekend) if it already covers what I'm about to say: What the markets do is to take an initial wealth distribution and transform it into an exponential one. To see why that happens, model final wealth as a product of random trade outcome wealth multipliers.

Let's say you could either increase your wealth by 15% or decrease it by 10% every year (or whatever interval or multipliers). Then your final wealth will be something like InitialWealth * 1.15^Wins * 0.9^Losses. Whomever happened to get a lot more wins than losses will be massively more wealthy than everyone else. And as we know from the binomial distribution, those cases are rare.

So, at the right tail, you will necessarily have some obscenely wealthy people that simply were very lucky. In reality, for most people it's not about making wealth altering choices even every year, but a few critical choices with huge multipliers.

Of course, as we know, a guy like Musk is not where is he just because he was lucky, so it's a way simplistic argument. It also leaves out other important effects, like minimum living costs being a much greater proportion of a poor person's income. Nonetheless, in aggregate it's not an entirely unreasonable thought that in the way markets are designed, by chance alone, some people will necessarily become obscenely wealthy compared to the median person.

Obviously, I got this idea from somewhere but I can't remember the link or search term. If someone would enlighten me what it's called I would be more than happy.
 
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