Anybody notice a lot of the AGs are picking up.
See Wheat?
See Wheat?
You saw it before most.Everybody says inflation is dead, and the FED wants inflation >2.00%, as if that should be so very difficult with an exploding Money supply.
Is everybody on the wrong side of this trade?
View attachment 241139

View attachment 222838
A picture says a 1000 words.
Since where we are heading still remains completely unknown, and earnings for both the current quarter and several quarters going forward will be adjusted down by at least 25%, realistically we haven't reached the bottom. That said, large up-spikes will be the norm on the way to a bottom.
The Fed is now being said to have "an infinite supply of money". That's the buzz-phrase today. Well, I suppose that's true, but the next shoe to drop when we pull through Corona will be inflation.
For the long term real-estate is the place to be... but its going to have to be selective.
There will still be plenty of individuals with piles of money, that said I would still avoid high dollar homes, and on the lower end, no one with money wants to be a slum lord. Therefore, the focus as an individual real-estate investor imo... is buying large tracts of land. That's where the money will be in real-estate going forward.
For an investment for people who can't afford that, I think once again, and I have been saying this now for a few years here... the multi-family REITS should emerge from this crisis stronger than ever as home-ownership for many many areas of this country will be an incredible challenge for a large percentage of Millennial's.
If you've got money... buy large land tracts. Still pricey, but they're as cheap as they'll ever be I suspect. Your grandkids will thank you. jmho
-vz
Talked to a buddy of mine the other day, pretty decent sized developer of residential and some light commercial; he told me prices are off the charts across the board. Land, material, labor, permitting, fuel. Everything. Smart cat this one, he's a good friend and I respect how valuable his time is so I never pick his brain as much as I'd like to, but he knows what's going on. IMO, probably better than the 'experts' at the St. Louis Fed.
Now I'm about a million miles from being considered well versed on anything macro-economic, so maybe I'm wrong here, but I like to think I have walking around sense.
A picture says a 1000 words, and maybe this one applies too broad of a brush-stroke, and maybe I am missing something in regards to the ivory-tower definition of inflation, but I always thought inflation is when prices go up.
View attachment 251796
You don't need a weather-man to know which way the wind is blowing.
.