Quote from wrbtrader:
Try this site @ http://thepatternsite.com/ by Thomas N. Bulkowski
does Bulkowski mention Head&Shoulders pattern?
well, here is a surprise for his followers / I'm repeating myself here but for our own good/ :
http://www.cass.city.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/79953/Simon.pdf
one of the most interesting part there says:
' overconfident traders survive in
currency markets even as they gather decades of experience. They suggest that this could reflect
self selection, since currency trading requires a high tolerance for risk and overconfidence tends
to foster such tolerance. Trading on strategies that are unprofitable in expectation could still earn
positive profits for a lucky few, and funds gravitate to traders with successful histories (Shleifer
and Vishny, 1997; Gruen and Gyzicki, 1993). Imperfectly rational traders with on-average
unprofitable strategies could even come to dominate the market (DeLong et al., 1991).
New traders could be encouraged to adopt the unprofitable strategy by the success of
surviving agents. Humans tend to over-generalize from small samples and to overweight
"salient" information (Yates, 1990),'
the rest is also extremely interesting if one is 'into facts' rather than dreams and illusions
