Combining multiple systems
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Hint #2:
You are absolutely right considering the infinite number of possible further outcomes. Does the situation change if you had a limited amount of possible events? Consider a coin tossing game with the limited amount of tosses or the door opening game with the limited number of doors. How does it change the result?
Keep on thinking. You are very close.
Please accept my apologies for teasing you. I hope that on the end it will be well worth for you. I just don't want to give you my results. Instead I would like you to come up with your own discovery. It is very unusual and not very obvious way of looking at the price moves. I found it very intriguing! Try to think completely out of the box.
Well...
Considering the current topic...
I'm can not be exactly sure that I am at the same conclusion and view with MAESTRO and I'd like to warn that I don't speak on behalf of him. So what I mention may not be the same "view" as him.
My conclusion ended up being a Fib. relationship. My hint (if MAESTRO observed what I tested) would be a change in perspective led to changing a 50/50 chance to .618/.382 chance... This has nothing to do with my past trading style as a Gann trader. I believe that there's no chance of the ratio hitting a straight 1/3.
My 60/40 figure came from there...
Considering the current topic...
I'm can not be exactly sure that I am at the same conclusion and view with MAESTRO and I'd like to warn that I don't speak on behalf of him. So what I mention may not be the same "view" as him.
My conclusion ended up being a Fib. relationship. My hint (if MAESTRO observed what I tested) would be a change in perspective led to changing a 50/50 chance to .618/.382 chance... This has nothing to do with my past trading style as a Gann trader. I believe that there's no chance of the ratio hitting a straight 1/3.
My 60/40 figure came from there...
MAESTRO
my guess is that we end up with talking about different
things. but as i said, i'll continue tomorrow.
TS
great that you do well. though your posts are trending
towards a more disorganized style so to speak. you write
like a 17yr old beauty who is marrying today and just
found out she is pregnant, and that she can't find her
comb ... and that, goodness ... and ...
my guess is that we end up with talking about different
things. but as i said, i'll continue tomorrow.
TS
great that you do well. though your posts are trending
towards a more disorganized style so to speak. you write
like a 17yr old beauty who is marrying today and just
found out she is pregnant, and that she can't find her
comb ... and that, goodness ... and ...
This is my real real real real real last post... I think I can mention this a bit more in detail because it's a really simple and I feel that I'm won't be giving out anything much...
Let's say you are given a choice to stay out along with going in and out. So you are given 3 choices from the initial condition:
Given -------------- Next Possible Result -------------- Outcome
1 -------------- 1 -------------- 2
1 -------------- 0 -------------- 1
1 -------------- -1 -------------- 0
-1 -------------- 1 -------------- 0
-1 -------------- 0 -------------- -1
-1 -------------- -1 -------------- -2
Then you take out the choice of staying out when you have a loss:
1 -------------- 1 -------------- 2
1 -------------- 0 -------------- 1
1 -------------- -1 -------------- 0
-1 -------------- 1 -------------- 0
-1 -------------- -1 -------------- -2
You adjusted the result to a +1 point system.
Let's say you flip 2 coins:
You'll get the following, simple distribution:
Positive trade: 12 0.48
Breakeven trade: 7 0.28
Negative trade: 6 0.24
This can be another thing Maestro maybe referring to....
... this makes no sense. How can you choose to stay out of the losing proposition in retrospect? You can not make a decision in hindsight. It's akin to saying let's assume we avoided picking the losing lottery numbers; now let's study the dynamics under that assumption.
Gee, this system looks profitable.
I eagerly await any rebuttal to my earlier assertions. Although I can see I won't see any rational counter arguments any time soon.