Quote from gastropod:
Agreed - the SHTF first....but, I am more of a pessimist! I think we will see "plagues and famine" as well as wars.
I have said it before -
There are three ways to resolve a debt:
1.) Debtor pays off lender.
2.) Debtor defaults on debt - bankruptcy.
3.) Debtor kills lender - no more debt!
In our present situation most of the debt is owed to the general populace. Item #3 above. Hmmm, if only the govt could control health care...they could limit health care and let people die off in some odd plague...hmmm.
Another group that owns US debt is foreigners...they would probably want war, if the US defaulted on its debt - item #2 above
As for item #1 above.....ROFLMAO!!!! - yeah, the check is in the mail!!! We have over $99 Trillion in unfunded liabilities. Even the Federal Reserve knows we can't pay off the debt -> http://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/fisher/2008/fs080528.cfm
-gastropod
I'm a pessimist as well... or maybe a realist? I guess it's all relative.
Anyway.... I held back on what you said - I agree with your points, but unlike you, I didn't want to scare the children!

And by the way - Scataphagos is right - debasing the currency is the tactic used right now. It works great because it's a stealth tax and 90% of the population has no clue they're getting screwed.
However, the bond market is not dumb... and China may get grumpy. Let's think that one thru... I can't see it ending well.