Quote from rhymeswithorang:
Interbank FX market rules. take that 139000 euro contracts and multiply by their value of 159K per contract and you get about $22 billion in trade. Average daily international foreign exchange trading volume was $1.9 trillion in April 2004 according to a study from the Bank for International Settlement. Probably higher now.
LOL. Yeah, but only about 600 billion of that is spot. The rest is swaps and other currency derivatives. Euro transactions represent some 35-40% of that 600 billion. Which comes out to roughly $225 billion. But there are many Euro crosses. The most popular, EUR/USD probably makes up about 75-80% of that or 30% of the $600 billion. So that's about $175 billion daily turn over in EUR/USD. Think retail players have access to the breath and depth of that? Not a chance.
More than 50% is straight interbank dealing. So that leaves about $92 billion for retail in EUR/USD. Uh oh, wait, almost forgot. Another third goes to fund managers and other non bank institutions. So shave off another $58 billion. So that leaves, what? $25 billion for retail.
So it appears that retail access to the EUR/USD is about the same to little more than the notional value of the Euro FX futures.
BTW,
YOU cannot play the interbank FX. (interbank FX is as it says - between banks.) Though you have tertiary access to the spot scraps. All for 2- 3 pips and some slip via a market maker who trades against you, might not honor quotes, might stop hunt occasionally, might by artifically widening the spread, and who let's you play 100:1 to 400:1 with as little as $500. Because for them, given their setup and the shear number of account that blow up, it's all money in the bank.
Now, of course, if you're using an ECN type broker or front end. Then you've got a real and viable alternative to CME's futures.
But the future of retail spot is looking brighter thanks to CME and Reuters new joint venture - FX Marketspace - which will commence operation during the 1st quarter of 2007. Have a look into it.
