A couple of things that I also watch closely to gauge the direction of CL is how the energy trusts are acting and also how the airline and transportation stocks are moving. The OIH/XLE seems to be starting to rollover while the the $XAL and $TRAN are looking like they are bottoming out after having a miserable period of extended weakness. AMR and several of the other airliners are putting in solid moves the past few days. This always catches my attention...
Yes keep an eye on USD currency, as today rally most like is some big players purchasing betting that tomorrow economic release is bearish on USD...but i doubt , just me or there is someone out there believe tomorrow release will favor a strengthening USD?