CL Redux

<b>Wyckoff Market Analysis</b>http://stockcharts.com/school/doku....t_school:market_analysis:wyckoff_market_analy

1/ Richard D. Wyckoff, a perpetual stock market student, was a great trader and a pioneer of technical analysis. Based on his theories, studies and real life experiences, Wyckoff developed a trading methodology that has stood the test of time

2/ Richard Wyckoff began his Wall Street career in 1888 as a runner scurrying back and forth between firms with documents. As with Jesse Livermore in the bucket shops, Wyckoff learned to trade by watching the action first hand. His first trade occurred in 1897 when he bought one share of St. Louis & San Francisco common stock. After successfully trading his own account several years, he opened a brokerage house and started publishing research in 1909.

<b>Two Rules</b>

Wyckoff focused exclusively on price action. Earnings and other fundamental information were simply too esoteric and imprecise to be used effectively. Moreover, this information was usually already factored into the price by the time it became available to the average speculator. Before looking at the details, there are two rules to keep in mind. These rules come directly from the book, Charting the Stock Market: The Wyckoff Method, by Jack K. Hutson, David H. Weiss and Craig F. Schroeder.

<b>Rule One:</b> Don't expect the market to behave exactly the same way twice. The market is an artist, not a computer. It has a repertoire of basic behavior patterns that it subtly modifies, combines and springs unexpectedly on its audience. A trading market is an entity with a mind of its own.

<b>Rule Two: </b>Today's market behavior is significant only when it's compared to what the market did yesterday, last week, last month, even last year. There are no predetermined, never-fail levels where the market always changes. Everything the market does today must be compared to what it did before.

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I was shocked to know top 8 Big traders control 27% of total OIL Futures contracts ( total open interest ), few years ago it was close to 50% ( it seems recent govt. tightening got them reduce their total level )

Think about it , how much leverage they have ( with some co-ordination between them ) .

Here I am guessing , the TOP 8 Big SHORT traders are mostly OIL Producing companies and TOP 8 Big long traders are in general Hedge funds etc..

http://www.cftc.gov/OCE/WEB/crude_oil.htm ( chart is at bottom of this web page )

feel free to comment with your take on this .

concentration8_combined_Crude%20Oil.gif

Y- axis is : Largetst 8 Traders share of open Interest ( futures & options )
 
America ready to take action against Syria as Iran warns of 'harsh consequences'

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...yria-as-Iran-warns-of-harsh-consequences.html

Chuck Hagel, the American defence secretary, said the US was still assessing the evidence from Wednesday's chemical weapons attacks in Damascus, that are thought to have killed up to 1,300 people.

Four American warships have moved into the Mediterranean as President Barack Obama weighs up his options.

"President Obama has asked the defence department to prepare options for all contingencies. We have done that," said Mr Hagel, speaking in the Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur as part of a southeast Asia tour.

"Again, we are prepared to exercise whatever option, if he decides to employ one of those options."
 
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/26/us-syria-crisis-hagel-idUSBRE97P0E320130826

"We are analyzing the intelligence. And we will get the facts. And if there is any action taken, it will be concert with the international community and within the framework of legal justification."

"Our confidence is growing that this was, in fact, an episode involving the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian regime," the official said.


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http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/26/us-syria-crisis-france-idUSBRE97P04B20130826

Reuters) - France's foreign minister said on Monday no decision had been made yet on whether to take military action against Syria, but doing so outside the auspices of the U.N. Security Council would be problematic.

"It is a problem that will be difficult," Laurent Fabius told Europe 1 radio.

"International law is defined by the United Nations, but at same time there are countries (on the council) that are blocking (military action)- China and Russia have blocked and would probably block again so it would be a problem...

"In certain circumstances we can bypass it, but international law does exist," he said without elaborating.
 
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