CL Redux

Quote from Visaria:

out 10125, +200t

no doubt premature...

-130 cents from long to short and +200 cents short to out = +70 cents net on two turns.

Nothing wrong with that math, at all. Few times per month = solid career results :)
 
Some really good fib retracements today from the 1030 spike down. First time it based at 188 it retraced 32% before falling again, then when it based at 121 it retraced 23% before falling again. We'll see how the rest plays out; just wanted to point it out.
 
Quote from austinp:

Sometime between 10:32am est and the close of trading, CL should offer a +100 cent (or greater) trade. That didn't happen last week... price went dead past the inventory news.

Seeking that trade all the way today, from 10:32am once the ripsaws settle until it unfolds or the session ends. Whichever comes first :)

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1-lot long ahead of news: trailed to +1 cent from entry stop, slipped out at -14 cents from entry into news release.

Long & short four-lots from there, -20 cents per contract / -$800 on top of prior -$140 stop

Short 4-lot from 101.85 > stop 101.35 => out 101.36

**

As planned, as expected, as usual on inventory Wednesday. Price offers at least a 100-cent directional move, sometimes much more. Seeking +50 cents net or greater and mission accomplished for the day :)
 

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I 1st wanted to short CL since it was in a strong trend down with major damage done to price. I did not go long because I thought the price had gone down to far, but I did go long since it was the right setup to do. My issue is I should have tried for more profit and held the winner longer. However, a win is still a win, but I am moving my account up more slowly than I should be.
 
Quote from mm19:

CL entered longterm downtrend.

That's kind of vague. What time frame? Daily, weekly? Daily charts show us in a bull flag. Or, you can argue we're in a descending channel which is also typically bullish once a breakout is confirmed. Regardless, those are longer time frames and most of us are only in trades intraday.
 
Quote from REI_Chris:

That's kind of vague. What time frame? Daily, weekly? Daily charts show us in a bull flag. Or, you can argue we're in a descending channel which is also typically bullish once a breakout is confirmed. Regardless, those are longer time frames and most of us are only in trades intraday.

Good point - my timeframe is longer and little relevance to intraday. More specified call - market will have lower highs and lows on 4 hrs bars. Meaning 10550 will not be reached. No target - stepping down with stops on 4 hrs bar swing highs until invalidated.
 

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