Quote from JoshDance:
Probabilistically, we should have movement up today. Yesterday was an inside day, and Thursday broke north out of a congestion. Not forcefully mind you, but still, it broke up. So, we've had two days of consolidation on progressively lower volume (just over 200K today, yuck). Just based on what happens more often (the edge), a move up is, IMO, more likely. Incidentally, we are knocking on the door of the high of the 6/15 big down day (and on the continuous contract, we have poked above it already), which is near the median of the May/June range and was where 100 traded for the last time before recently.