CL Redux

4/19/11 OIL EOD report by Reuters
---------------------------------------------
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/19/markets-energy-nymex-idUSN1923231720110419

Traders await weekly inventory data, which is forecast to
show in a Reuters poll that

- domestic crude inventories rose last week by 1.1 million barrels.
- Gasoline stockpiles fell 1.5 million barrels and
- distillate supplies were unchanged from the previous week's level, the poll also showed.
------------

Tue Apr 19, 2011 4:30pm EDT
* Strong data from France, Germany lifts euro vs dollar
* OPEC sees no shortage of oil in global market
* POLL: U.S. crude stocks up, gasoline down

* Coming up: API oil inventory data, 4:30 p.m. EDT Tuesday

<b>
NEW YORK, April 19 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures
rebounded almost 1 percent on Tuesday, aided by
- a weaker dollar,
- a bounce on Wall Street and
- technical support.
</b>

Prices bounced after Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner
said there was "no risk" the United States would lose its AAA
credit rating, remarks considered supportive following sharp
losses on Monday after ratings agency Standard & Poors issued a
revised negative credit outlook for the United States.
[ID:nN18195555]


FUNDAMENTALS
-----------------

* The day's low held above last week's low of $105.31,
providing a technical lift for the contract.
* In London, ICE Brent crude for June delivery LCOM1
settled at $121.33 a barrel, down 28 cents, or 0.23 percent, on
demand worries, after trading from $119.03 to $122.29. A weaker
dollar attracted some buyers, helping limit the day's losses.
* Brent's premium against the U.S. June contract CLM1
narrowed to $13.05, from $13.92 at the close on Monday.
CL-LCO1=R

* OPEC Secretary General Abdullah Al-Badri said there was
no shortage of oil in the global market. [ID:nPOM923543]
* Iran said an increase in crude output would not help
bring down global oil prices, a day after other OPEC members
said costly oil was hurting fragile consumer economies.
[ID:nPOM926808]

* Britain said it would send military officers to advise
Libyan rebels to improve organization and communications, but
would not arm or train them to fight.[ID:nLDE73I1A7]
* Yemeni police opened fire on protesters in Sanaa and
Taiz, killing at least three people, as anti-government
protests raged to end President Ali Abdullah's 32-year rule
escalated. [ID:nLDE73I1BU]

* Japan is shipping its first oil products since the March
earthquake, weighing on premiums for the fuel. [ID:nL3E7FJ0OL]

* U.S. housing starts and permits for future home building
rebounded strongly in March, government data showed.


MARKETS NEWS
------------------
* The euro rebounded against the dollar on strong economic
data from France and Germany overshadowing fears that Greece
may have to restructure its debt. [USD/]

* Encouraging results in health care and materials
companies lifted Wall Street, but weak earnings from Goldman
Sachs limited gains. [.N]

* U.S. gold futures hit a record high above $1,500 an ounce
and silver surged as the dollar weakened. [GOL/]

* Copper rose close to 1 percent, clawing back some ground
after six straight days of losses, helped by a weaker dollar and the strong U.S. housing data. [MET/]

UPCOMING DATA/EVENTS
* U.S. Energy Information Administration weekly oil
inventory data, 8:30 a.m. EDT (1230 GMT), Wednesday.
 
Quote from NoDoji:

I held one of my trades today for 16 minutes. Does that count?

:p

NoD sorry I missed your post from yesterday.

Anyway, my answer: ... close enough for jazz! :D


(and btw, still not too late to get short!)
 
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/US-oil-rises-on-weak-dollar-rb-2844191713.html?x=0

Actual API numbers released

U.S. crude oil stocks rose 667,000 barrels last week, the industry group American Petroleum Institute said in its weekly inventory report released late on Tuesday. (API/S)

- U.S. crude oil stocks rose 667,000 barrels last week,
- Gasoline stocks fell 1.8 million barrels and
- distillate stocks dropped 3.4 million barrels, falling unexpectedly, according to the API.
----------


OPEC SEES $100 OIL IN 2011

OPEC Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri, speaking at an oil and gas trade fair in Tehran, said <b> he did not expect oil to fall below $100 this year, even though there was no shortage in the market.</b>

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has declined to take any formal action to cool oil's rally. Underlining that stance, Iran's oil minister said any output increase would not bring down prices.



Quote from InvestVision:

4/19/11 OIL EOD report by Reuters
---------------------------------------------
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/19/markets-energy-nymex-idUSN1923231720110419

Traders await weekly inventory data, which is forecast to
show in a Reuters poll that

- domestic crude inventories rose last week by 1.1 million barrels.
- Gasoline stockpiles fell 1.5 million barrels and
- distillate supplies were unchanged from the previous week's level, the poll also showed.
------------

.
 
Quote from bigsnack:

Bummer. Notes was the one who was talking about the Hail Mary trade, right?
No, Notes123 is the one that was ragging on InvestVision and some of the other people here.

When you treat other people in a respectful and loving way things generally go better for you in your life. When you don't, they don't. It's karmic.
 
Quote from BCE:

No, Notes123 is the one that was ragging on InvestVision and some of the other people here.

When you treat other people in a respectful and loving way things generally go better for you in your life. When you don't, they don't. It's karmic.

Ah, well UN-bummer then :p
 
Quote from bigsnack:

Bummer. Notes was the one who was talking about the Hail Mary trade, right?

That may have been me.

I take offense at the comparison, though, I'm the nice kind of loser :p
 
Wednesday, April 20, 2011

7:00 AM ET. Apr 15 MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

Market Composite Index (previous 444)

Market Composite Index Cur Chg (previous -6.7%)

Purchase Index (S.A.) (previous 191.7)

Purchase Index (S.A.) Cur Chg (previous -4.7%)

Refinance Index (previous 1923.9)

Refinance Index Cur Chg (previous -7.7%)

10:00 AM ET. Mar Existing Home Sales

Total Sales (expected 5.05M; previous 4.88M)

Percent Change (expected +3.5%; previous -9.6%)

Month's Supply (previous 8.6)

10:30 AM ET. Apr 15 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

Crude Oil Stocks (previous 359.29M)

Crude Oil Stocks (Net Change) (previous +1.63M)

Gasoline Stocks (previous 209.68M)

Gasoline Stocks (Net Change) (previous -7M)

Distillate Stocks (previous 150.84M)

Distillate Stocks (Net Change) (previous -2.68M)

Refinery Usage (previous 81.4%)

Total Products Supplied (previous 19.26M)

Total Products Supplied (Net Change) (previous +0.08M)
 
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