CL Redux

Quote from BCE:

You seem to be doing okay for a day like today. Small successful scalps. Whatever works.

what's a normal profit target? I get scared and take small profits, which are pretty small after it's all said and done, you know. What should my goals be on a trade? For instance, the trade I have on now is short @ 104.70, my stop is 104.96, my target is 104.52. Anything you can inform me about that?
 
Quote from Visaria:

Out at 80, I have to go for dinner.

First rate trading day, wish they were all like this!
Good 4U. Enjoy your well earned dinner. :)
 
Quote from MonumentMan:

what's a normal profit target? I get scared and take small profits, which are pretty small after it's all said and done, you know. What should my goals be on a trade? For instance, the trade I have on now is short @ 104.70, my stop is 104.96, my target is 104.52. Anything you can inform me about that?
The thing is every day is different. Today is really choppy. At least the last few hours have been. If you had gone long near the LOD, then I'd say it would be wise to hold this longer. Don't know how long you've been reading this thread, but one of the best traders here, NoDoji, generally sets a minimum profit target of 20 ticks. But this is a soft target and she aims to let it run unless there is some reason to take that small amount. She'll probably tell you. You need to ask yourself why you're taking those small profits, which are okay. If it's out of fear that this will reverse against you then maybe that's not a good reason.

Also Visaria's comments are good.
Quote from Visaria:

Try and run your profits somewhat more. From my cursory look, it seems you are close to 1:1 risk/reward, correct me if i'm wrong.

ADD Another thing is profit targets are generally based on technical analysis of the charts, looking at support and resistance levels, and not necessarily a dollar amount.
 
so this is leaked API report numbers , let us compare this against real API numbers when released.

this is report is bullish for OIL price JUST by these numbers, only 1 Million barrels crude build and 8 M draw down on gasoline stocks .

Quote from Visaria:


Apparently, there's this to come later today, i have no idea what it means:

4:30 PM ET. Mar 25 API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

Crude Stocks (Net Change) (previous +0.97M)

Gasoline Stocks (Net Change) (previous -7.88M)

Distillate Stocks (Net Change) (previous -0.61M)

Refinery Runs (previous 82.6)
 
Quote from BCE:

The thing is every day is different. Today is really choppy. At least the last few hours have been. If you had gone long near the LOD, then I'd say it would be wise to hold this longer. Don't know how long you've been reading this thread, but one of the best traders here, NoDoji, generally sets a minimum profit target of 20 ticks. But this is a soft target and she aims to let it run unless there is some reason to take that small amount. She'll probably tell you. You need to ask yourself why you're taking those small profits, which are okay. If it's out of fear that this will reverse against you then maybe that's not a good reason.

Also Visaria's comments are good.

I didn't see Visaria's post, but yes, that is correct. And I thank you two very much. So, the trade I have on now makes no sense, right? risking .26 cents to get .18 cents.
 
Quote from MonumentMan:

I didn't see Visaria's post, but yes, that is correct. And I thank you two very much. So, the trade I have on now makes no sense, right? risking .26 cents to get .18 cents.
Right. You're welcome. See my ADD above.
 
Quote from riskaddict:

I agree with the idea but I'm just curious as to why 104.45? I would be looking to get more long at that level I'm just wondering what you're seeing.

Thanks

RA

I will be looking to add more down there...just a preliminary stop into the post RTH session. will adjust it once we open back up @ 5pm CST. I realize we do have a small report this afternoon, but this has worked for me more times than it hasn't, so stick with the plan. I don't like adjusting positions via add / subtract on this report...either stop out and see how it reacts or ride it and add overnight.
 
Quote from MonumentMan:

what's a normal profit target? I get scared and take small profits, which are pretty small after it's all said and done, you know. What should my goals be on a trade? For instance, the trade I have on now is short @ 104.70, my stop is 104.96, my target is 104.52. Anything you can inform me about that?

Everyone has their own "normal" the most important thing to remember is what we want and do are meaningless, all that matters is the price and therefore you must know what is significant and what isn't. There is a 70% chance sometime tomorrow we trade somewhere between 104 and 103.75. That sounds like a lot but if someone told me there was only a 70% chance of rain I would still go golfing. Best of luck and welcome!

PS.. I'm half shit faced right now so take anything I say with a grain of salt.
 
Quote from riskaddict:

Everyone has their own "normal" the most important thing to remember is what we want and do are meaningless, all that matters is the price and therefore you must know what is significant and what isn't. There is a 70% chance sometime tomorrow we trade somewhere between 104 and 103.75. That sounds like a lot but if someone told me there was only a 70% chance of rain I would still go golfing. Best of luck and welcome!

PS.. I'm half shit faced right now so take anything I say with a grain of salt.

Shit faced is my language. unfortunately.
 
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