CL Redux

Quote from Laissez Faire:

Any grand long term predictions from here?

The bear flag is fairly evident now for all to see. If we do break below, the 94 zone looks like a possible support area to me which is not that far from here.

A measured move would give us another 10$ drop and a lot lower.

I will probably not be in a position to trade such a move anyway, but it`s still interesting to see what develops. :)

It's going to be tough for oil to move down another $10 without first consolidating this move. And this recent few days isn't much of a consolidation for the prior collapse. I suspect we break the recent lows of the last few weeks before running higher for a week or more before eventually collapsing lower. Or perhaps it doesn't even bother with first breaking the recent lows and just runs higher from here. But I just don't see another collapse from these levels without a run up to bring things back into more balance.
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

At least a top. Good call.

I wanted to short .90 now, but was not supremely confident, so I passed.

IMHO, should not trade much below here if new highs for the day though.

Thnx ... we'll see. Ema's holding for now, but starting to roll. If it retraces past 50% I'd be pretty sure no new HOD.
 
60 is holding like a rock.

Making a statement here or just postponing the inevitable?

There we broke.

Prior day`s low here as well. Perhaps we`ll snap back up just as fast?

50% at 44.
:(
 
Quote from plyka:

It's going to be tough for oil to move down another $10 without first consolidating this move. And this recent few days isn't much of a consolidation for the prior collapse. I suspect we break the recent lows of the last few weeks before running higher for a week or more before eventually collapsing lower. Or perhaps it doesn't even bother with first breaking the recent lows and just runs higher from here. But I just don't see another collapse from these levels without a run up to bring things back into more balance.

I was thinking along the same lines, prolly a gap move to low 90s then a rally to 100 b4 further downside
 
This looks like cheap oil for the day if we can snap back up now.

If yesterday`s low does not hold, we could see a slide back to the LOD perhaps?

Trying a long at 55 with a 5 tick stop here.
 
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