CL Redux

I haven't seen a lot of discussion about the massive dislocations building in all markets again. Very elementary example is oil peaking 3 days before flash crash at an unsustainable level for energy and equities to move in any sort of tandem, May 3rd.

We are nearly 3 years removed from the last massive seasonal dislocation in correlated markets when sp maxed out in Oct of 2007. The rubber band can only stretch so far before something has to give.
 
Quote from startraitor:

I haven't seen a lot of discussion about the massive dislocations building in all markets again. Very elementary example is oil peaking 3 days before flash crash at an unsustainable level for energy and equities to move in any sort of tandem, May 3rd.

We are nearly 3 years removed from the last massive seasonal dislocation in correlated markets when sp maxed out in Oct of 2007. The rubber band can only stretch so far before something has to give.
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Yes, you look at Treasuries and they're pricing in deflation; then you look at commodities and they're pricing in inflation; you look at gold and it's pricing in further crisis; you look at equities and they're pricing in recovery. :confused:

(FWIW, oil and equities moved in tandem at way higher prices, I remember because I shorted oil all the way from 100 to 146) :eek:
 
Quote from startraitor:

I haven't seen a lot of discussion about the massive dislocations building in all markets again. Very elementary example is oil peaking 3 days before flash crash at an unsustainable level for energy and equities to move in any sort of tandem, May 3rd.

We are nearly 3 years removed from the last massive seasonal dislocation in correlated markets when sp maxed out in Oct of 2007. The rubber band can only stretch so far before something has to give.
More...

I was obsessed with this action for months and couldn't block it out so it created a nagging voice in the back of my head saying "this doesn't make sense" so I stopped trading for a while until I could compartmentalize each contract traded in my head. At this point it seems the dollar is driving the bus. Just imagine how much easier trading would be if there was no fed, if the dollar just did what it did and wasn't manipulated directly or indirectly there would be so much less uncertainty and guessing from longer term trades/investors.
 
Quote from riskaddict:

I was obsessed with this action for months and couldn't block it out so it created a nagging voice in the back of my head saying "this doesn't make sense" so I stopped trading for a while until I could compartmentalize each contract traded in my head. At this point it seems the dollar is driving the bus. Just imagine how much easier trading would be if there was no fed, if the dollar just did what it did and wasn't manipulated directly or indirectly there would be so much less uncertainty and guessing from longer term trades/investors.
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i think the fed is here to stay ,for the duration of the debacle, however long that lasts,.....keeping a lie going gets more and more complicated,they just keep piling up
 
Quote from startraitor:

I haven't seen a lot of discussion about the massive dislocations building in all markets again. Very elementary example is oil peaking 3 days before flash crash at an unsustainable level for energy and equities to move in any sort of tandem, May 3rd.

We are nearly 3 years removed from the last massive seasonal dislocation in correlated markets when sp maxed out in Oct of 2007. The rubber band can only stretch so far before something has to give.
More...

what specific dislocations are you talking about?
 
Quote from riskaddict:

short 1 CL 82.85 looking for 81.60 stop 83.06
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Don't mean to offend you RA, but you know we have oil inventories in 13 minutes, right? :P

I like your R:R, though :)
 
Quote from Picaso:

Don't mean to offend you RA, but you know we have oil inventories in 13 minutes, right? :P

I like your R:R, though :)
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HA inventories more lies!! Anyone that has ever worked in the real world knows how half assed everything is. If liberals want to make a level playing ground for investors and reduce speculation why not outlaw these meaningless studies where the expected results come from some douchbag screwing around in excel.
 
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