Citigroup faces $8.9 billion writeoff, capital need: Goldman
Thu Jun 26, 2008 10:11am EDT
By Neha Singh
BANGALORE (Reuters) - Citigroup Inc may suffer $8.9 billion of write-downs in the second quarter, resulting in a loss and possibly its second dividend cut this year, and investors should bet the largest U.S. bank's shares will fall, Goldman Sachs & Co said on Thursday.
Analyst William Tanona also added Citigroup to Goldman's "Americas conviction sell" list and cut his price target on the stock to $16 from $20.
He recommended a "paired" trade in which investors sell Citigroup shares "short," betting on a decline, and buy Morgan Stanley shares.
Citigroup shares fell 85 cents to $18.00 in pre-market trading. If the shares fall below $18.00 in regular trading, they would touch their lowest level since October 1998, the month Citicorp and Travelers Group merged to form Citigroup.
Tanona's forecast suggests deeper problems for Citigroup Chief Executive Vikram Pandit, who is trying to turn the bank around after nearly $15 billion of losses in the last two quarters, and more than $46 billion of credit losses and write-downs since the middle of 2007.
"We see multiple headwinds for Citigroup including additional write-downs, higher consumer provisions as a result of rapidly deteriorating consumer credit trends, and the potential for additional capital raises, dividend cuts, or asset sales," the analyst wrote.
DIVIDEND CUT MAY BE NEEDED
He said the bank may need to cut its 32 cents-per-share quarterly dividend, and issue common stock or sell assets to raise capital because regulators may forbid it from issuing more preferred or convertible securities. Citigroup cut the dividend 41 percent from 54 cents per share in January. Continued...
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWNA730720080626