Published 06/18/2024, 07:16 AM
Citi analysts have raised their S&P 500 year-end 2024 target to 5600 while also initiating mid- and full-year 2025 projections of 5700 and 5800, respectively, in a note Tuesday.
According to Citi, "Our full-year earnings estimate is increased to $250 from a long-standing above-consensus $245 estimate. For '25, we initiate a $270 estimate."
Citi's analysis considers three key influences: NVDA, other major growth stocks, and the remainder of the index.
"Valuations can hold into year-end but are expected to compress during '25," Citi stated, emphasizing the significant impact of mega-cap growth stocks on index performance. "The weighting effect of the mega-cap growth cohort is exerting an outsized influence on index price action."
The +14.6% year-to-date return of the index is attributed to the three components: NVDA (4.1%), the rest of the major growth stocks (5.1%), and the "other 493" stocks (5.4%). Citi noted, "The first two components have shown ongoing positive revisions to '24 earnings estimates."
https://www.investing.com/news/stoc...s-sp-500-yearend-target-to-5600-432SI-3488308
Citi´s year end target has just been reached. What could possibly go wrong?

Citi analysts have raised their S&P 500 year-end 2024 target to 5600 while also initiating mid- and full-year 2025 projections of 5700 and 5800, respectively, in a note Tuesday.
According to Citi, "Our full-year earnings estimate is increased to $250 from a long-standing above-consensus $245 estimate. For '25, we initiate a $270 estimate."
Citi's analysis considers three key influences: NVDA, other major growth stocks, and the remainder of the index.
"Valuations can hold into year-end but are expected to compress during '25," Citi stated, emphasizing the significant impact of mega-cap growth stocks on index performance. "The weighting effect of the mega-cap growth cohort is exerting an outsized influence on index price action."
The +14.6% year-to-date return of the index is attributed to the three components: NVDA (4.1%), the rest of the major growth stocks (5.1%), and the "other 493" stocks (5.4%). Citi noted, "The first two components have shown ongoing positive revisions to '24 earnings estimates."
https://www.investing.com/news/stoc...s-sp-500-yearend-target-to-5600-432SI-3488308
Citi´s year end target has just been reached. What could possibly go wrong?

