Chronicle of a Death Foretold ?

Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

10:21 GMT +1

Random Comments

1. Price should hit 131.63 before 11:00 AM gmt +1 otherwise I will rethink my strategy.


Status: waiting for setup to go short

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

10:54 GMT +1

Trade 1 Cancelled

1. 11:01 AM (131.58). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) Short (yes)

2. Next: 12:00pm EUR German Industrial Production m/m

3. M2 BB hit? (no*)
M2 RSI overbought? (no)
Daily pivot hit? (131.63) (no).

Reason: Never have a signal to go short.

Comments:

1. Looking to the past is always easier ... there was a trade to sell at 131.59 (10:24) and buy 131.48 (10:48) but i cant find any fundamental or technical or a chart pattern signal that have make go short.

Status: Step aside with a short bias.

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

11:06 GMT +1

Random Comments

1. I usually avoid seeing other timeframes but given the lack of signals in the short term ...

2. It seems to be a strong support in M60 SMA 36 at 131.54 ....

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

11:32 GMT +1

(Price 131.59 still moving in a 6 point channel the last 1h 1/2)

Random Comments

1. The market doesn't want to go anywhere.

2. It's definitively waiting for the 1:45pm EUR Interest Rate Statement (and to less extend the 1:00pm GBP Interest Rate Statement) and specially for the comments of ECB President Trichet at 14:30

2. In this scenarios my system doesnt work at all.

Status: step aside

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

14:20 GMT +1

Random Comments

1. 1:45pm EUR Interest Rate increase (3.75%)

2. Waiting for comments of ECB President Trichet at 14:30

Status: step aside

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

14:37 GMT +1

Random Comments

1. 1:45pm EUR Interest Rate increase (3.75%)

2. USD Unemployment Claims (328K)

3. Waiting for comments of ECB President Trichet at 14:30

Status: Two many news ....step aside

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

15:04 GMT +1 UPDATE

ECB President Trichet comments

"Today decision was unanimous"

1. "Interest increase reflects inflations risks", "Maybe 1 or 2 more hikes to accomodate ... "

2. ECB is going to intervene to ensure price stability ....

3 2008 EU inflation forecast higher (from summer 2007) ...."Conditions in place for solid growht"

Random Comments:

1. The suggestion that more interest rates hikes are coming left me with a mixed flavour. I'm not exactly clear about the outcome for the euro. My felling is shorts for the US session, but I'll wait for confirmations.

Status: waiting for fundamentals behind the news to settle down. Step aside

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

15:18 GMT +1 (131.28)

Random Comments:

1. Next daily support point at 131.15

Status: waiting for fundamentals behind the news to settle down. Step aside
jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

15:30 GMT +1

Random Comment:

1. GPB/USD ... 192.73 WOW...

Status: waiting for fundamentals behind the news to settle down. Step aside

jjrvat
 
Today March 8 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

15:35 GMT +1 (131.30)

Random Comment:

1. If there is a last push down to the 131.15 Area in the next minutes and a pullback after I'm thinking to start trading for the short side ...

Status: waiting for fundamentals behind the news to settle down. Step aside

jjrvat
 
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