Quote from StarDust9182:
How does one play the Dec 21 end-of-the-world event. My initial thought was of a calendar spread (for obvious reasons).
Initially I thought of going all-in on Dec SPY puts but there is a technical issue because it is an options expiry date. The Mayans didn't specify a time as far as I know. So if you buy cheap Dec 21 puts they might finish out of the money or in the money depending on the exact event time. If you go a month out, who will clear them for you?
And what if the event was only where the Mayans lived, like a super giant earthquake in their home town into the sea. This would make sense because there could be a tough time selling Mayan long calendars in other parts of the empire, like to the Romans. Maybe this is why the calendar maker was laid off as the market dropped out from under the calendar business.
How does a good trader manage his risk/reward on this particular options trade - Any suggestions?