Quote from hajimow:
ADI will be over $30 by next Friday. Option expiry day. My trading pick was sell 27.5 PUT and buy 30 call for June.
Quote from efficiency:
Eh, you wrote "that" two weeks ago.
It is true there's a bias to revert TOWARD (but not necessarily through) the nearest strike but I pointed out A. $30 is potent B. It's failed above $30 numeous times.
Insider buying is nil. Summer has a seasonal tendency. It's already rallied from 17ish. Let's see, that's 65%.
Quote from hajimow:
That is true that I said the same thing two weeks ago but I am still excited and I believe tech stocks are undervalued.
You cannot compare two years ago when it was at $17 with today. ADI had a record sale last Q with a very good margin and the outlook for next Q is might brighter with much better margin. All these are mentioned in their last Q report which came out a month ago.
All things said, I cannot be so sure about stock performance. What I am sure is that I am doing an educated investment and it is not gambling.
Quote from efficiency:
You wrote "investment" but this is a trading site. Perhaps you're implying that I gamble. Life is a gamble.
Yes, I can compare now with two years ago. You transact in PRICE. So do I.
Record sales? When a pole vaulter gets to 22 feet what's the probabilty of further records? What role does inflation play in these records? Is unit volume at a record? Does it matter with respect to stock pricing?
I would suggest it doesn't.
Ditto for margins.
When ADI clearly breaks $30, actually $31, it should run. Gee that rhymes. IF and when that occurs, be sure and let me know. That would much easier and meaningful than my letting you know it hasn't (on a recurring basis).
One last thing, "excited" suggests you're not emotionally detached. That could involve tuition until a certain lesson is learned. Unlearned, this lesson is destined for repetition.