Chess

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Probably the most important chess tournament of the year is upon us. The candidates to choose an opponent to challenge Magnus in NY for the WCC.

Computer simulation and prediction of who wins here:

http://en.chessbase.com/post/computer-simulates-and-predicts-candidates-winner

My choice: Aronian. Second choice: Nakamura.

 

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Generally, picking a tactical fight with a computer is suicide. Imo, Lee Sedol should be playing far more strategically, pushing the search tree into quintillions, not just trillions. That means pushing the fight to the opening!

 

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Lee Sedol is getting torched

Full article which is very interesting:

http://en.chessbase.com/post/alphago-vs-lee-sedol-history-in-the-making

 

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Lee Sedol strikes back!!!!

Go champion Lee Se-dol strikes back to beat Google's DeepMind AI for first time

"AlphaGo wrapped up victory for Google in the DeepMind Challenge Match by winning its third straight game against Go champion Lee Se-dol yesterday, but the 33-year-old South Korean has got at least some level of revenge — he's just defeated AlphaGo, the AI program developed by Google's DeepMind unit, in the fourth game of a five-game match in Seoul.

AlphaGo is now 3-1 up in the series with a professional record, if you can call it that, of 9-1 including the 5-0 win against European champion Fan Hui last year. Lee's first win came after an engrossing game where AlphaGo played some baffling moves, prompting commentators to wonder whether they were mistakes or — as we've often seen this week — just unusual strategies that would come good in the end despite the inscrutable approach. (To humans, at least.).."

http://www.theverge.com/2016/3/13/11184328/alphago-deepmind-go-match-4-result

 

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Traders should understand how AlphaGo works:

 

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Here is a nice study. White pawns go up the board. White to move and achieve technical win (sequence of moves). Hint: Zugzwang.

 

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Lee Sedol ends up losing 4-1.

Next up is 18 year old Ke Jie, whom many consider stronger than Lee Sedol. Below, he thinks he is 60% odds on to beat AlphaGo. And, now that people can study some of AlphaGo's strength and weaknesses, they can try to steer games there.

After AlphaGo, what's next for AI?

http://www.theverge.com/2016/3/14/11219258/google-deepmind-alphago-go-challenge-ai-future

 

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Live Candidates match to decide who challenges Magnus in NY in November. In Russian though:

http://worldchess.com/bcst-video-rus/

 

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It is Magnus Carlsen vs Sergey Karjakin

Karjakin has never even been above 2800. I think he is going to find Magnus a handful. That said, he has little pressure since he is expected to lose. That monkey off an athletes back tends to bring out something extra in a player.

They meet each other in Norway chess in April. Most chess players tread lightly in games before important matches. But I think Karjakin has to give Magnus doubt and put lots of pressure on him right there and then. He has to get himself in the right psychological state from now on.

 

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