Dear fellow traders,
could you please give me some advice on what is the best/cheapest way to hedge EUR and USD in the following scenario:
I borrow 100,000 EUR from an EU bank and change it to USD => I get 110,000 USD (assumed EUR/USD 1.1000)
I invest these 110,000 for one year and get back 121,000 USD 365 days later (assumed 1 year term deposit with 10% interest).
I need to convert 121,000 USD into EUR and pay back 102,000 EUR to the bank (assume initial loan 100,000 EUR plus 2% interest)
Depending on the EUR/USD price in one year more, I might end up with a profit or a loss, because the currency can move much more (against me) than I'd profit from the interest of my investment. So I need to hedge it. What do you think is the best/easiest way?
- Options: I think they are too expensive?
- Spot forex / futures: Cheap costs, but I'd need to leave 30%-50% of my investment sum with a forex broker, because I need enough margin in case the EUR/USD moves a lot. So I'd need to give up on 30%-50% of my profit (plus swap fees).
What are your ideas?
Thank you much and kind regards
could you please give me some advice on what is the best/cheapest way to hedge EUR and USD in the following scenario:
I borrow 100,000 EUR from an EU bank and change it to USD => I get 110,000 USD (assumed EUR/USD 1.1000)
I invest these 110,000 for one year and get back 121,000 USD 365 days later (assumed 1 year term deposit with 10% interest).
I need to convert 121,000 USD into EUR and pay back 102,000 EUR to the bank (assume initial loan 100,000 EUR plus 2% interest)
Depending on the EUR/USD price in one year more, I might end up with a profit or a loss, because the currency can move much more (against me) than I'd profit from the interest of my investment. So I need to hedge it. What do you think is the best/easiest way?
- Options: I think they are too expensive?
- Spot forex / futures: Cheap costs, but I'd need to leave 30%-50% of my investment sum with a forex broker, because I need enough margin in case the EUR/USD moves a lot. So I'd need to give up on 30%-50% of my profit (plus swap fees).
What are your ideas?
Thank you much and kind regards
