Charles Denner... Forecasts "Dow 5,000"

S2007S said:
Inflation is higher than what the fed or any economist says...they keep downplaying it, I see inflation almost everywhere, the cost of living is out of control, besides that the rates should have been an easy 5% today but they are literally half that....there is no way they can scale up rates now, it's Farr farr Farr to late now....the higher the rates go the lower the markets will drop...there is no way they can move rates higher, the chance is completely gone, fed has nothing now meaning they will have to start cutting as soon as they see unemployment ticking higher and gdp dropping which you will see taking place throughout 2019...unemployment rates have peaked along with GDP....fed will cut rates down to 2% by end of 2019 and will probably have zero rates in 2020 as the recession comes. Aside from that people can keep thinking I'm crazy but I see negative interest rates...if Powell is fired there will be a huge uproar in the markets....trump better act wisely on this situation...
More...

You are crazy. Insanity is repeating your past mistakes and expecting the same result. You posted the exact same shit during the last correction in late 2015 / early 2016. The US economy and company results ( and hence their valuation metrics ) are BETTER now then during that time period.

In 2015, you said that ONE interest rate hike would crash US markets 40-60%. Yes, that's what you thought. You can't post that again because even you understand that there have been numerous rate hikes since and markets remain at higher levels then they were in 2015. You seem to have zero ability to understand your mistakes and correct your assumptions. So you repeat them again and again.

What good is there forecasting negative interest rates in 2020 when you posted more then two years ago that we'd have them within 2 years ? I guess you want to be wrong again. Here's my personal guarantee, the US will NOT have negative interest rates in 2020. Not a chance in hell that will happen.

I could cite numerous quality stocks that at these prices can't miss long term. Even on indexes, something like the TSX can't miss as a boring, long term investment. But you and others want to obsess about short term US index moves and expect crashes when the forward P/E is 15 and the US economy grew 3.5%. Give your head a shake and prepare to be owned yet again long term.

Here's a good test for you. Let us know your best long position in equities or related indexes since March 2009. One you held for years as the overall US market more then tripled. If you can't answer that, you have a serious problem.
 
I have always been skeptical about having rate hikes to lower them before recession comes.
Like, stabbing yourself now so you can apply bandage later? What's the logic behind it.
 
Nine_Ender said:
You are crazy. Insanity is repeating your past mistakes and expecting the same result. You posted the exact same shit during the last correction in late 2015 / early 2016. The US economy and company results ( and hence their valuation metrics ) are BETTER now then during that time period.

In 2015, you said that ONE interest rate hike would crash US markets 40-60%. Yes, that's what you thought. You can't post that again because even you understand that there have been numerous rate hikes since and markets remain at higher levels then they were in 2015. You seem to have zero ability to understand your mistakes and correct your assumptions. So you repeat them again and again.

What good is there forecasting negative interest rates in 2020 when you posted more then two years ago that we'd have them within 2 years ? I guess you want to be wrong again. Here's my personal guarantee, the US will NOT have negative interest rates in 2020. Not a chance in hell that will happen.

I could cite numerous quality stocks that at these prices can't miss long term. Even on indexes, something like the TSX can't miss as a boring, long term investment. But you and others want to obsess about short term US index moves and expect crashes when the forward P/E is 15 and the US economy grew 3.5%. Give your head a shake and prepare to be owned yet again long term.

Here's a good test for you. Let us know your best long position in equities or related indexes since March 2009. One you held for years as the overall US market more then tripled. If you can't answer that, you have a serious problem.
More...

iu
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top