It's a tough one...the problem during the subprime scandal, at which time it did drop a lot, is that these Alt-A loans definitely involve a large amount of CFC assets...whereas it was easy for Mozilo to downplay the amount of exposure CFC had to subprime which I think he's fibbing about anyway.
This is a bit different and the SEC investigation over the subprime industry are sure to pick up on Mozilo's dumping of shares.
Will be interesting...but July Puts are fairly cheap for what I believe is going to be easy.
Also, the press from Dodd wanting to talk to top lenders in front of a Senate Banking Commission panel is bad news.
I think CFC is swirling closer to the drain....I expect class-actions to hit the wire soon....lawyers are usually all over these cases and it just takes them a few weeks to build their cases....but the agressive selling by Mozilo is probably enough to show that the CEO is not acting in the best interest of shareholders.
It's a big ugly pig from this point....either short if it goes up to $40 which I find less and less doubtful, or if it goes below $32-33 range.