Cathy Woods - ARK Investment

Most of her positions will recover , it happens all the time< sold AAPL at $18 , sold $PCLN at 9
sold MELI at loss of $14, all you need to have is VISION and common sense, UBER is here to stay right? , Robinhood is another one and many more....
 
I wonder why no one floats an ETF/MF that just rotates among the momentum sectors/stocks? It would seem to work at least in this market. Of course with so much trading it would work better in an IRA vs. taxable account.

I only watch the market a few hours a day and its clear that the bond yields & USD dictate short term movements.
 
I wonder why no one floats an ETF/MF that just rotates among the momentum sectors/stocks? It would seem to work at least in this market. Of course with so much trading it would work better in an IRA vs. taxable account.

I only watch the market a few hours a day and its clear that the bond yields & USD dictate short term movements.
there are... MTUM, QMOM, etc.
 
LTCM wasn't a failure, its employees made out like bandits. They just overleveraged it because it was OPM. It's a matter of incentives just like 2008 when many knew that the stuff they held was shit but still traded it because heads I win tails you lose.

I'm well aware of their success and as close as to perfection one can have but in the end it was a failure needing billions in a bailout. Back in my college days, long ago, I did a paper on these guys for my derivatives course. We agree they used leverage as their whole model was based on it. It was mean reversion betting and when the Russia ruble became, an outlier, it became a house of cards. Swaps was the biggest losses if I recall, but admittedly I don't remember what I used to and don't care to Google. Haha
 
QMOM looks a lot like the chart of ARKK, however MTUM is pretty impressive. It seems to outperform the SPY consistently by 5-6% pa even going back to inception in 2014:

spy.mtum.png

spy.qmom.mtum.png
 
I admire Cathy Woods dont get me wrong. However, I noticed she has been buying a tremendous amount of stock in TDOC, ZM, SKLZ, HOOD, PATH. All of these stocks are trading near 52 week lows.
She has been betting heavy and buying these stocks all the way down. These high valuation speculative stocks can work very well in a bull market but her purchases seem questionable at best. Then again, what do I know.

How do you know if starting tomorrow we will be in a piece of a bull market or a bear market?

The best and the brightest have had caniptions trying to predict the future direction of the market:

Unless they said that over very, very long periods the market has had an upward drift and they were betting on that to continue... and baring very harsh events like nuclear war occuring, many sharp people like Warren Buffett have taken this view.
 
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