Catching the falling knife.....hot through butter

I am going to start a journal of a strategy I am trading live. I am selectively buying (going long) stocks down 9-10 days in a row and looking for the turn. Buying on 75% Pullback from lows and the stop is at new lows. Here is what I am in right now.

From last Thursday
FIC
CMRG
EMKR

From Friday
YCC
FMKT

Today
LNCR

Will keep all posted
 
Quote from iriekity:

I am selectively buying (going long) stocks down 9-10 days in a row and looking for the turn.

How is FMKT a stock that is down 9-10 days in a row?

disclosure - I am long FMKT from 5.64, as I think it has put in a bottom. The action today is nice, as it breaks above the 34DMA and a three day high. I am not "flaming" you, just curious as to how this fits into your parameters outlined above.
 
Quote from maggandre:

How is FMKT a stock that is down 9-10 days in a row?

disclosure - I am long FMKT from 5.64, as I think it has put in a bottom. The action today is nice, as it breaks above the 34DMA and a three day high. I am not "flaming" you, just curious as to how this fits into your parameters outlined above.

I realized after posting that I had gotten in FMKT from a different strategy, but not the one I am posting for this journal. I still like that trade it is just not in this exact fit. Thanks for catching that.
 
Quote from iriekity:

I realized after posting that I had gotten in FMKT from a different strategy, but not the one I am posting for this journal. I still like that trade it is just not in this exact fit. Thanks for catching that.

Thanks - looking forward to your journal.

One last question - how do you calculate a 75% pullback from the low - don't you have to have a swing high for that? Do you just use the most recent?
 
Quote from maggandre:

Thanks - looking forward to your journal.

One last question - how do you calculate a 75% pullback from the low - don't you have to have a swing high for that? Do you just use the most recent?

I use an alerts software that I have mentioned on this forum before www.trade-ideas.com, it gives me 75% pullback from lows. The lows are of the current day. I set it to watch the stocks that are down 9+ days in a row. I pull up the stock when I see the alert and make a decision as to what to do. I have been able to really get some high % returns so far so that is why I decided to put some of this in a journal for others to see.
 
Quote from iriekity:

I am going to start a journal of a strategy I am trading live. I am selectively buying (going long) stocks down 9-10 days in a row and looking for the turn. Buying on 75% Pullback from lows and the stop is at new lows. Here is what I am in right now.

From last Thursday
FIC
CMRG
EMKR

From Friday
YCC
FMKT

Today
LNCR

Will keep all posted

Out of LNCR on new lows
 
Quote from iriekity:

I use an alerts software that I have mentioned on this forum before www.trade-ideas.com, it gives me 75% pullback from lows. The lows are of the current day. I set it to watch the stocks that are down 9+ days in a row. I pull up the stock when I see the alert and make a decision as to what to do. I have been able to really get some high % returns so far so that is why I decided to put some of this in a journal for others to see.

I'm not following you on the 75% pullback from lows either. Please explain exactly what you mean.

m
 
Quote from iriekity:

Here is the best explanation directly from the help and I use it just like that.
http://www.trade-ideas.com/Help.html#PFL75

OK, thanks.

This has gotten to be a popular strategy lately (there is another thread here on ET all about these types of oversold stocks), so I have to wonder how long it will work. There's a lot to be said for catching short-covering rallies, but timing is everything and there are many head-fakes.

m
 
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