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Cashmaker's hot stocks and trading
- Thread starter cashmaker
- Start date
ACN will accounce Q1 2006 earning after market close. First call estimate is $.34/share, my calculate is $.37/share, I am betting on it. My model beat the average first call earning forecast. If you want to play earning, ACN is a safe play.
And don't forget MPS which is in the same sector. Should be good tomorrow.
And don't forget MPS which is in the same sector. Should be good tomorrow.
MPS is a better play than ACN. ACN announce strong earning and shows the strong business in IT outsourcing. MPS is much cheaper and with good shape.
Add more EMC at its low. So wierd of wall street. EMC accounce preliminary good number on the earning and cut 1000 job as well as lift its 2006 outlook. EMC totally manipulated by MM, but I am bullish here. EMC is a good buy.
Add more EMC at its low. So wierd of wall street. EMC accounce preliminary good number on the earning and cut 1000 job as well as lift its 2006 outlook. EMC totally manipulated by MM, but I am bullish here. EMC is a good buy.
CHB been shorted by stupid money purely base on Technical analysis. CHB is a solid compnay with high growing business and strong fundemental value. There is not reason it should go down. I bet since it touches its 100 days MA line, shorter will cover soon. 5Million shares been shorted from its $15 level. My TA model alerts that rebounce is very likely base on short interest and moving average analysis.
CHB is totally MM manipulated, it will be traded at its fundemental value. I am not afriad of this kind of market volatility and very optimistic on CHB's business.
Will add more if it down. Shorter start cover. Easy money here, good entry at its 100MA line. Look at this number:
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/stock_quotes.aspx?ticker_symbol=chb
CHB is totally MM manipulated, it will be traded at its fundemental value. I am not afriad of this kind of market volatility and very optimistic on CHB's business.
Will add more if it down. Shorter start cover. Easy money here, good entry at its 100MA line. Look at this number:
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/stock_quotes.aspx?ticker_symbol=chb
Similar situation in Wall Street: One time charge affect daily stock price, but not long term value. EMC is a typical example. I remember RHAT last year announce its one time charge affected its quarter earning and after market down 10%, but look at RHAT now. Also LAZ last year announce its one time charge, it down almost $1 that day, but back up $1 next day. Today EMC shows the same play: Day trader play with one time charge affect last quarter earning.
"The charges are expected to shave some 11 cents per share off of fourth-quarter net earnings, bringing quarterly profit to 6 cents per share. Excluding these items, EMC expects earnings to be at the high end of its earlier forecast of 16 cents to 17 cents per share."
All know that one time charge just a transitory effect, it is trival compared to company's business. If you are a investor, should look forward instead of this historical trival effect. EMC today is totally played by day trader who utilize its cutting job and increase dismiss cost.
All these one time charge excluded, EMC tap it high end earning which is 17c and raise it guidance for 2006 revenue and forward earnings. If you are an investors, it is time to load a good company when it is affected by the transitory factor.
It can not be down more since institution's shares not for sale. It is time to load. I bet EMC will rebonce back in the afternoon trading.
"The charges are expected to shave some 11 cents per share off of fourth-quarter net earnings, bringing quarterly profit to 6 cents per share. Excluding these items, EMC expects earnings to be at the high end of its earlier forecast of 16 cents to 17 cents per share."
All know that one time charge just a transitory effect, it is trival compared to company's business. If you are a investor, should look forward instead of this historical trival effect. EMC today is totally played by day trader who utilize its cutting job and increase dismiss cost.
All these one time charge excluded, EMC tap it high end earning which is 17c and raise it guidance for 2006 revenue and forward earnings. If you are an investors, it is time to load a good company when it is affected by the transitory factor.
It can not be down more since institution's shares not for sale. It is time to load. I bet EMC will rebonce back in the afternoon trading.
Valueline raised CHB's techical today to 1 which signal the best entry point. CHB will rebounce from here. Add more shares.Short will cover soon. CHB's play recall me the NGPS when it was down to $14 and rebounce to $30. Another big meat for me to play, easy money here. Valueline's raise its timeliness to 1 not long time ago aiming $20 target.
Here is the number:
Value Line Ranks*
Timeliness: 1 (Raised - 09/30/2005)
Safety: 4 (Lowered - 11/08/2002)
Technical: 1 (Raised - 01/06/2006)
Industry: 64 (Manuf. Housing/RV)
BETA: 1.7 (1.00 = Market)
Here is the number:
Value Line Ranks*
Timeliness: 1 (Raised - 09/30/2005)
Safety: 4 (Lowered - 11/08/2002)
Technical: 1 (Raised - 01/06/2006)
Industry: 64 (Manuf. Housing/RV)
BETA: 1.7 (1.00 = Market)
My reply statment of my trading strategy on Mr.Market, share with you guys;
I used to be a big TA fans and addict to it. However, on average, TA can not bring me gold. You lost some and win some, finally it turns out to be a zero sum game. I struggle for years and tried to find a way can give me "sure profit" on TA until someday one CFA analyst told me that "A good fundermental portfolio manager can not live without a good trader" which shed light on my trading life. I got the CFA later and learn tons of FA and model building technique. Now I can conclude my stratergy is Crossectional regression models help me to filter companies and time series models help me to trade. BTW, i also look at psychology, astrology,etc. I can say one thing is my picks is not coincidence or luck, it contains my almost 12 hours work every day(exclude weekend). I read tons of report from valueline, monringstar, valueengine, S&P report, first call, etc. I can tell you one number to show how good my portfolio is, my last 3month return is >50% (of course from oct to next jan is the best time for us) but last year I still made >35% which is far more than s&p 5%.
Although I made some mistake like FLEX and you can say CHB or whatever, on average I make cash.
I used to be a big TA fans and addict to it. However, on average, TA can not bring me gold. You lost some and win some, finally it turns out to be a zero sum game. I struggle for years and tried to find a way can give me "sure profit" on TA until someday one CFA analyst told me that "A good fundermental portfolio manager can not live without a good trader" which shed light on my trading life. I got the CFA later and learn tons of FA and model building technique. Now I can conclude my stratergy is Crossectional regression models help me to filter companies and time series models help me to trade. BTW, i also look at psychology, astrology,etc. I can say one thing is my picks is not coincidence or luck, it contains my almost 12 hours work every day(exclude weekend). I read tons of report from valueline, monringstar, valueengine, S&P report, first call, etc. I can tell you one number to show how good my portfolio is, my last 3month return is >50% (of course from oct to next jan is the best time for us) but last year I still made >35% which is far more than s&p 5%.
Although I made some mistake like FLEX and you can say CHB or whatever, on average I make cash.
update of my growth portfolio, you can find my previous comments on most of these stocks:
AirLine: LUV JBLU
Hightech/SOFTWARE: BMC,EMC,MPS,ACN
Steel: SCHN, OS
Retail: NDN, GPS
EMS: FLEX
Homebuiling: CHB, FLE
Small Good FA stocks: RNAI, BTJ
The best upper space stocks IMO are: EMC, CHB, MPS, NDN and FLE. Some of stocks like SCHN, OS and JBLE I have only Hold sentiment due to their recent jump, but i can not find a reason to sell.
AirLine: LUV JBLU
Hightech/SOFTWARE: BMC,EMC,MPS,ACN
Steel: SCHN, OS
Retail: NDN, GPS
EMS: FLEX
Homebuiling: CHB, FLE
Small Good FA stocks: RNAI, BTJ
The best upper space stocks IMO are: EMC, CHB, MPS, NDN and FLE. Some of stocks like SCHN, OS and JBLE I have only Hold sentiment due to their recent jump, but i can not find a reason to sell.