Wouldn't it be so EASY, if we could predict? Perhaps, that is why often people post these type of questions. In a survey no less.
They want an answer that is "easy", but ironically, it is like asking the ground hog, when spring will come. The animal does not know, but we "ask", nevertheless. And it is not any more accurate if the entire colony of groundhogs "votes", either.
There are many opportunities in this type of market and that is the take away for those who don't search for mono directional, nebulous time frames, easy answers.