Can you make sense of these technicals?

buttermarket said:
some patterns can have 100% probability but it has to do with scale or size of the trade.
it only works for small traders. institutional investors cannot profit from TA of individual small stocks trading .the size or volume is too small or thin for them.

the more money you have the less feasible daytrading becomes or trading becomes. too much work for too little return. you might as well buy bonds if you want 10% ROC.

where can you get 50% chance of winning? Does las vegas doesn't have 50% chance of winning in sport bettig,, i think they do. too
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Just buy NQ at 9100 and stop BSing
 
Sekiyo said:
It’s a black swan for the turkey but not for the butcher.

A black swan is a tail event.
Low probability, high impact.
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and labelled after the fact
that carona virus was a black swan until it became white.
"how much have they cost us, the evils that never happened" US PREZ Jefferson.
to traders a hell of a lot
 
padutrader said:
and labelled after the fact
that carona virus was a black swan until it became white.
"how much have they cost us, the evils that never happened" US PREZ Jefferson.
to traders a hell of a lot
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Problem with corona virus is some stupid expert labeled it as innocent until proven guilty. Meaning benign when we should have be precautionary by principle. It’s a black swan ex post but we knew it’s a multiplicative process. Hence bearing systemic risk.

It’s stupid to say insurance is useless, costly, because nothing has happened yet. You better spend too much on insurance than to crash your car and kill the family in front of you while not being insured.

False positives are costly but false negative are deadly.
 
padutrader said:
in sports there are only two outcomes

in markets there are much more possible outcomes
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No. Soccer has 3 outcomes. But you can create a contract with only two outcomes.

IMO The diff with betting and trading is ...
Continuous vs discret event.

You can create betting contracts on financial instruments. Such as binary options. You can create it yourself buy putting a SL and a TP.
 
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Sekiyo said:
No. Soccer has 3 outcomes. But you can create a contract with only two outcomes.

IMO The diff with betting and trading is ...
Continuous vs discret event.

You can create betting contracts on financial instruments. Such as binary options. You can create it yourself buy putting a SL and a TP.
More...
the opinion of the market is all that matters
 
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