Quote from 5yrtrader:
Now if someone can tell me why the Euro is still trading around 13800 vs the USD with all this going on, I would be interested to hear (read) your explanation.
EURUSD has moved lockstep with IR differentials, a relationship in place for some time now. Periphery issues did not drive real money outflows like most active participants anticipated. Eurozone inflows remained steady, even favorable. Differential interest rates have simply favored euro. This has reversed course as of late with latest ECB cut, with German-US IR differentials moving lower again.
White: EURUSD
Red: German 5yr vs US 5yr
Credit: GMT
