started an ES OTM Call Calendar spread today
+1 OCT ES 1305 C ($28.5, STP LMT at 24.00, 25.5 trigger)
-1 AUG EW 1305 C (exp 8/31) $7.5
(note ES futures about 2pts above SPX)
Game Plan:
Rangebound: With the EW exp on 8/31, there is good time decay with position theta=~+.3
Upside: Since it is OTM at 1305, a grind up will benefit from time decay; the net position is still slightly delta positive. For a quick breakout to the upside, I'll rollup the short strike and the STP LMT, maintaining a slightly positive to neutral delta position.
Downside: I set a STP LMT at the long call triggered at 25.5, LMT at 24. This leaves twice the b/a spread (.75) to close the trade in case of a rapid drop. The 25.5 figure is based on the option price on 8/16, below the current channel. The idea is that on the way down, the short call will minimize the 4.5pt drop in the long.
comments please
many thx
+1 OCT ES 1305 C ($28.5, STP LMT at 24.00, 25.5 trigger)
-1 AUG EW 1305 C (exp 8/31) $7.5
(note ES futures about 2pts above SPX)
Game Plan:
Rangebound: With the EW exp on 8/31, there is good time decay with position theta=~+.3
Upside: Since it is OTM at 1305, a grind up will benefit from time decay; the net position is still slightly delta positive. For a quick breakout to the upside, I'll rollup the short strike and the STP LMT, maintaining a slightly positive to neutral delta position.
Downside: I set a STP LMT at the long call triggered at 25.5, LMT at 24. This leaves twice the b/a spread (.75) to close the trade in case of a rapid drop. The 25.5 figure is based on the option price on 8/16, below the current channel. The idea is that on the way down, the short call will minimize the 4.5pt drop in the long.
comments please
many thx
I think a week will give us a little more (without being greedy of course
The correct numbers are: