Maybe nobody truly knows the accurate way to price premium?
The market accurately prices option premium.
Maybe nobody truly knows the accurate way to price premium?
The market accurately prices option premium.
I think the IV IB is providing is close enough. I did a calculation for the ATM IV about the time of entry and found my computed value very close to your IB value, so don't think the issue with the gross error is the IV. (so the sheet below is using your values, not calculated IV) As a test, I grabbed an Excel sheet from the web, which provided BSM and just plugged in your values for the following day (where you expected the value of the option to not match your expectations). I found the value to be within 1 penny. Let me know if I missed something! Note: you may not be accounting for time. -- I track time to nearest minuite, which may be the issue. Also, I use the nearest term LIBOR data for interest rates. Below is the excel sheet with the data for yesterday, but using the IV numbers IB provided you!
Link to this Excel sheet on the web: "https://excelatfinance.com/xlf/black_scholes.php"
For Stock (price) I entered 16.52,
for exercise 18
for Rate: 0.15459954422709% <-- you can round it (this was copy/paste)
Sigma: your number of 96.6%
Time: =8.14236111111111/365.25
The calculated Put price was 1.90, where you observed 1.89 which may be close enough for government work.