Quote from heech:
Mark,
My plan was to sell the options (not exercise them) 15 days into the trade, and 15 days before expiration. My option calculator came up with 3.75 as call price with underlying=strike at 55, IV at 90%, days until expiration=15.
What am I missing?
You cannot exercise them, so it does not matter if that was your plan or not.
What you are missing is that European options are not priced the same as American options. You must understand that difference.
American options cannot trade under parity. If they did, people would buy them and then sell the underlying, locking in a profit.
But European options can trade at any price. If VIX is 60, there is no reason why the VIX 50 call cannot trade at $2. And the truth is it does just that. All the time.
Your calculator doesn't get it. The option does not have to trade with an IV of 90. It can trade with an IV of 10. It can ignore the VIX index because the VIX index is NOT THE UNDERLYING ASSET.
The Underlying asset is the VIX futures. That means no one cares what the current price of the VIX index is. All that matters is the price of the futures contract - and that depends on what the VIX is expected to be when the option expires. In other words - in the future.
If you need proof, go back to when VIX hit 80 and just look at the price of the VIX options - especially the out months.
Mark