C

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-citigroup-ceo-outlook-idUSKCN0YO2SB

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-waited-years-rate-164449097.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/citigroup-leads-bank-stocks-lower-142623231.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=C+Interactive#{"range":"2y","allowChartStacking":true}

Trade:
With C at 45.39
Jan '17 57.5/60 bear call spread for a net credit of $18
Yield = 18/232 = 7.76% in 230 days or 12.3% annualized
Prob = 89%
Expectation = .89(18) - .07(232) - .04(116) = 16.0 - 16.2 - 4.6 = -4.8

Price.......... Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
35.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
40.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
50.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
57.50............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
57.68............... 0.00.................. 0.00%
58.45............ (77.20).............. -30.88%
60.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%
70.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%
75.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%

 
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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-citigroup-ceo-outlook-idUSKCN0YO2SB

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-waited-years-rate-164449097.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/citigroup-leads-bank-stocks-lower-142623231.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=C+Interactive#{"range":"2y","allowChartStacking":true}

Trade:
With C at 45.39
Jan '17 57.5/60 bear call spread for a net credit of $18
Yield = 18/232 = 7.76% in 230 days or 12.3% annualized
Prob = 89%
Expectation = .89(18) - .07(232) - .04(116) = 16.0 - 16.2 - 4.6 = -4.8

Price.......... Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
35.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
40.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
50.00............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
57.50............. 18.00.................. 7.76%
57.68............... 0.00.................. 0.00%
58.45............ (77.20).............. -30.88%
60.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%
70.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%
75.00............ (232.00)............. -92.20%

%%
Hedge fund manager Jim Cramer said recently ''banks rally on nothing'' Too bad the 200 day moving average is against most of them[ big banks] LOL NOT a prediction.

The CEO of Citigroup[sandy W ] was quoted in WSJ,'' break up big banks''...................
 
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Wells Fargo has done better than most; BAC, C tend to do much worse than average. I was noting the stock price past 10 years. WSJ noted that on 5 years, but both are true Even worse, all the big bank losing lawsuits.....
 
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