Man, the fantasy level remains very high on this thread. Here's a quick dose of reality. Enjoy!
Your video is blocked out "unavailable" from Europe.
Thanks for your contribution : what return rate should people look for?
Man, the fantasy level remains very high on this thread. Here's a quick dose of reality. Enjoy!
Here is more realistic result, since small say 50 years more expected.
My.Commpound20Y()
[,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11]
[1,] "0" "5Y" "10Y" "15Y" "20Y" "25Y" "30Y" "35Y" "40Y" "45Y" "50Y"
[2,] "4%" "122" "148" "180" "219" "267" "324" "395" "480" "584" "711"
[3,] "5%" "128" "163" "208" "265" "339" "432" "552" "704" "899" "1147"
[4,] "6%" "134" "179" "240" "321" "429" "574" "769" "1029" "1376" "1842"
[5,] "7%" "140" "197" "276" "387" "543" "761" "1068" "1497" "2100" "2946"
[6,] "8%" "147" "216" "317" "466" "685" "1006" "1479" "2172" "3192" "4690"
[7,] "9%" "154" "237" "364" "560" "862" "1327" "2041" "3141" "4833" "7436"
[8,] "10%" "161" "259" "418" "673" "1083" "1745" "2810" "4526" "7289" "11739"
[9,] "11%" "169" "284" "478" "806" "1359" "2289" "3857" "6500" "10953" "18456"
[10,] "12%" "176" "311" "547" "965" "1700" "2996" "5280" "9305" "16399" "28900"
[11,] "13%" "184" "339" "625" "1152" "2123" "3912" "7207" "13278" "24464" "45074"
[12,] "14%" "193" "371" "714" "1374" "2646" "5095" "9810" "18888" "36368" "70023"
[13,] "15%" "201" "405" "814" "1637" "3292" "6621" "13318" "26786" "53877" "108366"
[14,] "16%" "210" "441" "927" "1946" "4087" "8585" "18031" "37872" "79544" "167070"
[15,] "17%" "219" "481" "1054" "2311" "5066" "11106" "24350" "53387" "117048" "256622"
[16,] "18%" "229" "523" "1197" "2739" "6267" "14337" "32800" "75038" "171668" "392736"
[17,] "19%" "239" "569" "1359" "3243" "7739" "18468" "44070" "105167" "250965" "598891"
[18,] "20%" "249" "619" "1541" "3834" "9540" "23738" "59067" "146977" "365726" "910044"
[19,] "21%" "259" "673" "1745" "4526" "11739" "30448" "78975" "204840" "531302" "1378061"
Starting with 100 (could be 1K or 100K or 1M),
1) [2,2] is 100*1.04^5 = 121.6653 ( 5 years with 4% consistently)
2) last [19, 11] is 100*1.21^50 =1378061 (50 years with annual 21% compounded)
3) Note that [19,2] is almost equal to [2,6], implying 21% for 5 years is almost equal to 4% for 25 years.
4) Note that 100 becomes 910044 at [18, 11], implying 9100 times, as Buffet says in his record at http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2014ltr.pdf
Man, the fantasy level remains very high on this thread. Here's a quick dose of reality. Enjoy!
I am realising that myself included, that many traders actually put too much pressure on themselves.
Seriously, many flog themselves to return minimum 30% a week, when in fact just mere 2% a month is far more than enough.
That speaker guy kind of looks like actor Stanley Tucci -- he was in Margin Call 2011 and Bull 2000 TV show...two wall st/finance movies.
Those who can do...do -- those who can't ...teach/speak/write.
![]()
I don't necessarily pass judgement...different strokes for different folks. If you're young and/or hungry and/or have a small account...then naturally you're ambitious. If you have a huge account already, then you can play it safer and rest on your laurels.
One way or another isn't necessarily automatically better than another.
At lot teach, speak and write; very few DO.Those who can do...do -- those who can't ...teach/speak/write.![]()
I think I am going to stick to high risks again from a tiny one.
When I reach 6 figures, move to 2% monthly return. Because otherwise, it would be too long.
Again thank you for the compounding calculations: it shows that risk is really
a balance between time and return. High risk, quick return on a short time, or low risk, low return
on long period.
I actually lost a $400k trading account ( built from a high 4 figures account) due to "unwanted stress".
I think 2016, I will test how easy it is to make 2% a month on a tiny account : this would
remove a lot of pressure; then I'll load again. Till then tiny accounts( 4 figures max).
Take it easy and do what smart traders do, run a webinar and trade micro contracts. Then start writing ebooks for side income and after enough of your webinar customers lose money they will buy the video course you unveil on themwhen they are most desperate, after they have blown several accounts while listening to you on that for-profit webinar.
Take it easy and do what smart traders do, run a webinar and trade micro contracts. Then start writing ebooks for side income and after enough of your webinar customers lose money they will buy the video course you unveil on themwhen they are most desperate, after they have blown several accounts while listening to you on that for-profit webinar.