Quote from Nine_Ender:
Except that the market isn't a dream, its an accurate reflection on corporate profits and the increasing influence of economic activity in new countries.
If you understand what the market represents, ownership in companies ( and related supply/demand on that ), you might stop posting this repeated emotional analysis and expecting 500 point drops when fundamentally that would be stupid.
You can predict a minor correction due to profit taking, but there really is no real catalyst at this point for anything more then that.
The only trade you seem to come up with is tiny shorts on the whole market. This isn't trading with vision. The only way you can get significant profits is to get a major correction, which is probably why you seem to be talking your book for months.
Going long in fall 2011 ( after the last correction ) and holding til anytime the last few months was an easy, reliable trade. And it wasn't hard to time or difficult to see the trend. Yet I bet many of you were so hamstrung by your emotional bias concerning the US economy you didn't profit at all from that nice move. Dreaming about recouping that miss in one easy crash is exactly that, dreaming. It may be possible, but the chances are remote for this year.
Ash is a nut. Anyone who thinks this is a secular bear market and looks back to 1982 isn't a clear, logical thinker. Trying to deny a 4 year bull market is trying to refuse reality using semantics. The semantics don't even work.
Myself, I was long large in an index fund for 11 months ending two weeks ago. I did ok but chose the wrong country which reduced my profits.