Quote from riskfreetrading:
I will not be able to post in the next 1.5hours, but I have a warning for the stock market bears.
Watch out. The bulls may come out with their swords any time. Watch out for times between 1PM and 2PM. Of course you can be cut earlier. Excused he who warned. Fireworks can take place even during the day.
So bears, get your lower backs out.
I am writing this post at 12:11PM. Market is its lowest point today.
What the heck with you guys? There was a rally, but a little one that failed. It is not the typical RFT rallies you have been used to, but nonethless it is a win.
Check the chart. if you bought at 12:11PM as per the post above, you would have made money.
I know that the QQQQ went to 28.30 area, which is a win.
A win is a win.
But I think you are right in the sense that the failure of the early PM little rally and what seems to be a methodical selling today is worrisome.
My thinkingt has been that we were done with the leg from Feb 06 to today at noon time, and then we would go to close the most recent gap down (situated at 30 for the QQQQ).
Remember that RFT called the leg from Feb 6 to today noon correctly. That is more than 11% gain on an index (the QQQQs).
Now, I am starting to think that maybe we may not even have the close of the recent down gap. The market does not have to close a gap to go down.
I have quickly looked at the day chart, and today's market action has put it on the verge of the start of a major move down. I will redo the timing work.
Ugly March may start earlier. Stay turned.
PS: RFT wrote it very clearly in the blog that the upleg that we were trying to nail contains risk, and that it should be done with caution and reduced size.