... but is it doable in reality ?

I've become a shareholder in Imperial Brands (IMB on TV, ISIN : GB0004544929) because from all the "Addiction & sin" companies that are publicly listed, its combination of

a) a new local high since late last year (2021)

b) a share buyback program announced a few days ago (volume 1 billion pound sterling)

c) and a bullish recommendation from Goldman Sachs

It's currently trading around 2,029 pence. I think it might appreciate to around 2,400 or 2,500 pence within the next 6 years, until 2028. Plus, of course, a potentially stable dividend (yield is currently around 7%).

https://www.tradingview.com/x/tUzeN3ei/
 
janbillian said:
I've become a shareholder in Imperial Brands (IMB on TV, ISIN : GB0004544929) because from all the "Addiction & sin" companies that are publicly listed, its combination of

a) a new local high since late last year (2021)

b) a share buyback program announced a few days ago (volume 1 billion pound sterling)

c) and a bullish recommendation from Goldman Sachs

It's currently trading around 2,029 pence. I think it might appreciate to around 2,400 or 2,500 pence within the next 6 years, until 2028. Plus, of course, a potentially stable dividend (yield is currently around 7%).

https://www.tradingview.com/x/tUzeN3ei/
More...
%%
Looks good, but not a prediction=LOL:D:D
And i remember his co name = TrendStat.
That'$ the kind of name i could meditate on, not kicking my mind out of gear , but thinking about it again and again....................................................
NOT all addictions are bad, even though many think that way. IF we are not addicted to water; we are dead ducks, so to speak.:caution::caution::caution::caution::caution::caution:,:caution::caution::caution::caution:
 
2nd idea for investors looking for a potential "buy and hold" stock, I suggest the shares of dutch electronics giant Philips for purchase (ISIN: NL0000009538), the company pays a dividend too and now trades near the lows from the financial crisis of 2008 / 2009.

I think it could rally even further than the shares of Imperial Brands, to around 25 € within the next 8 years. Add to this the dividends, and it may become a > 100% gain, far better than US stock indices will perform.

Currently trades @ around 12.80 € .

7gXMdrzg
 
In my native german, for german speaking readers of this thread :

Alle Filter, aufgrund denen man das Universum investierbarer bestehender AGs einschränkt, können natürlich Überrenditen (englisch : "excess returns") gegenüber einer Kaufen-und-Liegenlassen Strategie im S&P 500 via ETF nicht garantieren.

Darauf muss immer wieder hingewiesen werden, es gibt keine Strategie, die o.g. sehr leicht umsetzbare Investmentmethode garantiert schlägt, deshalb underperformen auch letztlich > 90% aller aktiv gemanagten Fonds über 10 Jahre oder länger den S&P 500, leider -> aktiv gemanagte, teure Fonds sollten unbedingt gemieden werden.

Man erhält aber auf dieser Webseite kompakt, übersichtlich und kostenlos eine Übersicht über Kennzahlen eines Unternehmens, TraderFox errechnet daraus einen Stabilitätscheck, maximale Punktzahl ist 15.

Zitat Simon Betschinger (Gründer von TraderFox) :
"TraderFox stellt einen Robustheits-Check für Aktien im Aktien-Terminal gratis bereit. Bitte gib diesem Beitrag ein Like, wenn Dir unser neuer Service gefällt.
Mit dem Robustheits-Check kannst Du Aktien finden, die sehr gut mit der aktuellen Wirtschaftslage klarkommen. Die Grafik zeigt die Aktie von McDonald's. Sie erzielt 15 / 15 Punkten. McDonald's kann die inflationären Preissteigerungen sehr gut an die Konsumenten weitergeben.
Der Robustheits-Check bewertet, ob sich Aktien in einer Krisensituation wie folgt verhalten:
a) unkorreliert
b) mit geringer Volatilität
c) mit geringen Drawdowns
Aktien mit hohen Werten bei Robustheits-Check eignen sich vor allem gut zur Diversifikation von ETF-Portfolios, die auf den S&P 500 oder den MSCI World setzen. Man kann dadurch das Portfoliorisiko absenken."

https://aktie.traderfox.com/visuali...Y7BTcycDbCCCgEhkZgenyAjLC2CtFibe5YE4raYZLzD8c
 
A big shout out to the folks @cnbc for hosting a long (almost 30 minutes !) interview with moneymanagement legend David Tepper, it's been > a year.

To summarize what David says, he remains a bear for US bonds and equities, sees continued tightening by central banks worldwide 2023.

Price target for the S&P 500 is in the range 3,150 - 3,300 points, well below yesterday's close.

Can only be viewed by CNBC pro subscribers.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/22/dav...ZHpwLXSUBtz2V-LyKZWJoVAFrZXtGyI8kK6pd6duJRTMI
 
janbillian said:
A big shout out to the folks @cnbc for hosting a long (almost 30 minutes !) interview with moneymanagement legend David Tepper, it's been > a year.

To summarize what David says, he remains a bear for US bonds and equities, sees continued tightening by central banks worldwide 2023.

Price target for the S&P 500 is in the range 3,150 - 3,300 points, well below yesterday's close.

Can only be viewed by CNBC pro subscribers.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/22/david-tepper-is-leaning-short-on-the-stock-market-into-2023-because-of-global-rate-tightening.html?__source=newsletter|cnbcprocommunications|dec22|tepperleanshort&fbclid=IwAR3m5t14gwkyV0ZHpwLXSUBtz2V-LyKZWJoVAFrZXtGyI8kK6pd6duJRTMI
More...

We saw it yesterday on the actual TV channel. And we're not CNBC pros. Another uber bear. 500 to 700 point drop. Fuck him.

The moment the Fed lifts foot off pedal with a pause statement? Rocket north.
 
My as of now favorite daytrader, Markus Keil, continues to rock. He's a native of Germany, and now resides in Switzerland and Thailand. This video is from 01/25/2023, he locked in a big profit already in january 2023.

His goal is an monthly return of around 5% (-> yearly return of more than 60% !) after fees with a maximum drawdown of 10%. Dreamlike figures for sure, but so far he exhibits the skill and was able to realize this.

What is his edge ? He analyzes data from exchanges, market profile and the orderbook are his maintools, and identifies key price levels in e.g. the S&P 500 futures contracts where big buy or sell orders may come into the market that can generate big profit. Positions are sometimes held for less than a minute !

The video is unfortunately in german, as Markus does not speak english as well as his native german.

Ich hoffe, Euch gefällt dieses aktuelle Video von ihm !

 
My personal take on the US stock market remains bearish for this year, Intel posted very disappointing earnings and I can imagine other tech giants missing earnings estimates, too.

Nasdaq I stick to around 10,000 points this year, maybe even slightly lower (9,300 - 9,500 points), but it's impossible to forecast if it'll be straight down or with so called bear market rallies interrupting the downward move.

A dream come true for a long-term investor : If the NDX drops to 10,000 points, "buy and hold" with a low cost index fund will generate around 10% a year incl. dividends if held for 30 years or longer.

Note, however, that there can be long stretches where the US stock market goes nowhere, an index fund on the Nasdaq or S&P 500 bought on the 01/01/2000 would have generated an annual loss when valued on 01/01/2010, then came the huge bull market in US stocks.
 
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