Buried in Reddit, the Seeds of Melvin Capital’s Crisis
- Thread starter dealmaker
- Start date
Market close price was approx. 148.
July 150 Put was 92 so break-even is 58.
Risking $9,200 to make $5,800 if it goes to 0.
this has nothing to do with fundamentals. This has everything to do with shorts being heavily down on their positions and completely unable to drive the price down. I know that you know exactly what a short squeeze is so im not going to insult you by going on...all im saying is NOBODY thinks these prices will stick long term...one just has to determine how far the squeeze will drive it.
Do not quote me out of context. Here is my full line...
"...It seems to me, with as little as I know about options, that the best thing to do now is to buy a long-dated put at the current price. What it is now...$200 per share? Can you buy a put cheaply at 200 strike, expiring in the summer?
K, edit...Make that 235 strike, lol! WTF is up with the thing?"
Options don't trade after hours so just gave an example of your suggestion based upon closing price of 148.
Right. So were there options being offered at the crazy price of 200 strike before the closing bell today? If not, then maybe tomorrow morning there will be.
@zghorner Nobody thinks these prices will stick, which I also believe. So what would the cheapest put option to buy be above 200 strike for a year from now? Because a year from now, GME will be FUBAR.
NOBODY goes to GME to buy anything these days. Why would they? Just to smell the mall smells, and the fancy box art of the game?
No trading @ 200 today but wide bid/ask had mid about 132 so break-even 68.
Quotes would be based upon 148 price though.
Better to go the opposite direction to lower cost on a gamble. July 50 Put is 20, which will be cheaper tomorrow if stock is near 200.
If you believe it eventually collapses, buy deep OTM puts on big spikes higher in the stock.
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What does GME do besides go up?
Crash and burn, just like Electronics Boutique was going to do before merging with GameStop. Yah just can't have that many brick-and-mortar game stores in the world any more. The world has changed. Angry Birds are more popular than Zelda.
If I thought about what Gamestop does my account would be a lot less. Personally I think many old holders sold yesterday and today. Gambling with a $10 million gain is ludicrous, than again If only I had power to hold AAPL like my deceased mentor. He bought 20,000 at $14 before the splits and never sold. All that wealth went to charity before cancer killed him last year.