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Bulls only hope is the overnight jam up in futures
- Thread starter myminitrading
- Start date
Quote from stock_trad3r:
We're in a rate cut cycle. This is almost always bullish. The first few cuts haven't had the desired upside, but there will be more cuts. I dont see these subprimes and credit liquidity issues getting any worse. Shorts are running out of ammunition. Without a steady infusion of subprime stories and writeoffs the market will surge huge.
Have you not noticed what happens when the markets gets a whiff of more rate cuts coming?
Tell me were crude oil is today, look at grains soy, soy oil my gosh all time highs.
Quote from myminitrading:
Have you not noticed what happens when the markets gets a whiff of more rate cuts coming?
Tell me were crude oil is today, look at grains soy, soy oil my gosh all time highs.
Keep in mind though that rising comodities isn't inflationary. Oil and wheat is rising to reflect increased demand. India, China, South America consuming tons of oil and wheat and grains. This is basic economics. The 10 year bond keeps falling, which is indicitive of less inflation.
Quote from stock_trad3r:
Keep in mind though that rising comodities isn't inflationary. Oil and wheat is rising to reflect increased demand. India, China, South America consuming tons of oil and wheat and grains. This is basic economics. The 10 year bond keeps falling, which is indicitive of less inflation.
no the 10 year is falling because it sees recession ...and the equity market is starting to see this as well ...
Quote from sobemark:
no the 10 year is falling because it sees recession ...and the equity market is starting to see this as well ...
And to fix that the fed cuts rates...alot.
And then the market rebounds. Like what happend when the fed cut rates in 2001-02. A five year bull market followed.
Quote from stock_trad3r:
Keep in mind though that rising comodities isn't inflationary. Oil and wheat is rising to reflect increased demand. India, China, South America consuming tons of oil and wheat and grains. This is basic economics. The 10 year bond keeps falling, which is indicitive of less inflation.
Crude now @ 97.10 think we hit $100.00 this week?
How does this play on psychology, Home prices falling, stock market falling, food and energy rising. Layoffs loosing war in Iraq, well at least not winning.
Now how much is the Dow up?
Quote from myminitrading:
Crude now @ 97.10 think we hit $100.00 this week?
How does this play on psychology, Home prices falling, stock market falling, food and energy rising. Layoffs loosing war in Iraq, well at least not winning.
Now how much is the Dow up?
You're argument is based on emotion more than logic.
The war has actually ben bullish for the markets. Rising oil and rising food and energy isn't necessarly inflationary. Falling home prices actually increases odds of another cut and has had no affect on market.
Quote from stock_trad3r:
And to fix that the fed cuts rates...alot.
And then the market rebounds. Like what happend when the fed cut rates in 2001-02. A five year bull market followed.
the equity markets will price in recession before it prices in recovery ...
saying that ... markets will probably test FEB lows before any recovery ...IMHO
Quote from stock_trad3r:
You're argument is based on emotion more than logic.
The war has actually ben bullish for the markets. Rising oil and rising food and energy isn't necessarly inflationary. Falling home prices actually increases odds of another cut and has had no affect on market.
The war has been bullish for the federal reserve, they got to loan out billions, now we have even more insatiability in that region.
The rise in the stock market at the same time the dollar was falling was a total hoax. Just like the federal reserve.
Now how much is the dow up?