Your ideas are bizarre and your forecast failed already. You called a low for the SPX under 1100 on the move. There is a far higher chance you'll start a new account on here to call some more market tops then the market ever hitting that level. The "rigging" narrative merely helps indicate the level of delusion you operate on.
Buckle up Guys its starting
- Thread starter propwarrior
- Start date
Your ideas are bizarre and your forecast failed already. You called a low for the SPX under 1100 on the move. There is a far higher chance you'll start a new account on here to call some more market tops then the market ever hitting that level. The "rigging" narrative merely helps indicate the level of delusion you operate on.
Sounds good. Looking forward to it. I am about 50% cash right now with tons of margin at my disposal. Should be fun.
thanks I just re-tasted a bit of my dinner when I saw you were pro Clinton. You don't even know who you are playing against let alone who your enemies are.
your logic clusterfcuk continues
Granted it's rare around these parts but making live trade calls is not entirely bizarre.
Proper head in the sand mentally at work. If you read what I said I am calling a minimum 50% of equities IF there is not global corrdinated QE, I didn't say it would happen overnight.
If you scroll back a page you will see I called today's high a few days in advance to within 1 tick. I am calling the next leg down from there.
So you believe the markets are fair and free for all. I am happy with my view they are rigged, you carry on with yours.
2142.0 in the Dec ES S&P future is a great spot to take another short. 2148 stop.
Nailed today's high with 6 ticks drawdown after calling weeks high to within 1 tick. Just pure luck in these fair and free markets.
Technically, you said this yesterday just as we reached the high of 2140. I suppose that if we entered short around that time, we could have gotten in a few points below the 2142, so I can give you that. But I'm not sure if you can say that you nailed today's high since there was no post about it today.
Perhaps you think the 2142 level had to be at least touched, so this is fine, but I still feel as if the post yesterday doesn't really apply to today.
Don't get me wrong, what you say is very interesting, but its just a bit open ended, or rather, missing a few parameters.
I was just wondering: not trying to put words into your mouth, but presumably you've changed your mind about all that, by this stage ... or do you still believe it?
That's cool I can see how you have interpreted the way you have.
I was just wondering: not trying to put words into your mouth, but presumably you've changed your mind about all that, by this stage ... or do you still believe it?
Very good question. On the first point about Trump 'walking' the election Implied probabilities of a Clinton victory are c. 85% at betting exchanges. I believe this figure to be woefully inaccurate and here is why. Firstly the polls are not picking up 2 groups of people. i) shy trumpers ii) people who have never voted before. A substantial % of people will not openly admit to voting trump in public or more so social circles. The second group do not respond to polls, they either hang up the phone or don't do online terribly well. The majority of the polls are run by companies owned or controlled by the establishment hence over sampling is rife. Something like the Rasmussen poll is more independent and this shows them virtually neck and neck with momentum in Trumps favour. Once you add in the 2 groups above I believe Trump will win comfortably, c 55% 45%.
In terms of Hilary pulling out I now believe she will make it to the election. She was looking really ropey at one point. 2 days after I predicted she would pull out she had the collapse in NYC and we had the pneumonia diagnosis with a week in bed. She bounced back stronger than I thought. Looks very much like she is getting some chemical help best leave it at that.
I still do not rule out Obama trying to hold on but it will be very difficult and messy for them to try it. The overwhelming support that Trump has in the military, police and security services is such that orders would likely be refused. This also applies if they try a 'Russia' incident, there would probably be a refusal to follow orders.
If there is a Clinton win decision (not vote, decision) there may be some civil unrest could get very messy.
This is going to be WILD though fortunes will be made and lost. Biggest political event in my lifetime by a country mile. There will be huge breaking news in the next 7 days as they try and unsettle Trump very certain of that.
The media and polls pick whoever pays the best, initially it was Clinton but their structure is now becoming a liability with Podesta, email servers, their foundation.
The polls and media are now slowly starting to paint Trump in a more neutral light, whether good or bad is irrelevant, it's all about the money.
Just like this ...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-26/rules-rulers-or-how-world-really-works
But the trading is very nice, another +1% of account today.