not an economist so from a dummies simple take,all i see that they have learned is to print and eventually zero out any soc security ,pensions,future of any kind,whilst the medicaid medicare system is openly robbing the govt accts,by that i mean hospitals and nursing care systems charge up the wazoo,for services not entirely necessary but if not watched , then do the test anyway and charge, a friend has a health care company, they pay doctors for references to seniors,provide as many services as possible and collect,giving doctors cash kickbacks on each patient,he has been in that business for 3 years and tells me it's just the way it works,if i know this and he knows this then so does uncle sam,the only way he would look the other way is if he was also taking a piece off the top, sort of like mayor daily and the 75 year parking meter deal, ...the problem is the graft at the top has turned to just legalized money transferring,the banks can't be prosecuted, the medical industry is doing everything by the book,going back to the chicago example,when everyone was working and there were plenty of taxes to skim,it worked, they lost the tax base and kept the skimmers, so to fix that we just print more,the skimmers don't care, the lawmakers don't care,they are being paid not to...which in fact makes that their jobQuote from piezoe:
Be it noted that their are focused remedial actions that can be taken. For example, Greenspan was criticized for not tightening on the margin requirement to cool off excessive use of leverage. I think the Bernanke Fed should strongly consider tightening up a bit on margin requirements. That will cool down market volatility and should take some of the steam out.
Is the housing market being manipulated? It is perfectly legal, of course, to hold inventory off the market in the expectation that prices will rise. Possibly the major players, Chase, Citi etc, are holding bank owned real estate off the market to create an artificial shortage in some markets with the intention of gradually putting more of their real estate on the market as prices rise. The Fed has it in their power to make it less advantageous for banks to hold onto real estate. All it requires is some creative thinking.
The point is that there is a myriad of focused actions the Fed can take to keep asset bubbles from becoming unmanageably large. There will always be bubbles. But one thing I learned from studying Soros is that the formation stage of a bubble is clearly identifiable and therefore bubble extremes are preventable.
Greenspan believed that market forces would eventually deflate these bubbles more or less harmlessly, because he believed in market equilibrium theory. According to Soros' Reflexivity Theory, however, this is faulty thinking. When markets get seriously out of whack they can, via positive feedback loops, get even more out of whack. I think Soros is correct, and if he is, then it is possible, through timely focused action, to head off the formation of major bubbles.
Notice Roubini's use of the preposition "If" when he says: " If the exit cannot be navigated successfully, a dovish Fed is more likely to blow bubbles." That "If" qualifies his statement. We'll have to wait and see what happens, but I don't see it as a foregone conclusion that this time won't be any different from the last time. There are some very sharp economists working for the Fed. Until proven otherwise, I am going to assume they have learned something from past mistakes.