http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
Bush 48% Kerry 43%
Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 48%
Kerry 43%
Other 3%
Not Sure 5%
RasmussenReports.com
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February 18, 2004--President George W. Bush now leads Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry by five points in the latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll. As of this morning, Bush attracts support from 48% of the nation's likely voters while Kerry is the choice for 43%.
Today's reading is the largest lead for either candidate since John Kerry became the Democrat's front-runner. For most of February, the two candidates have been essentially even. Three days ago, Kerry assumed a modest lead that now appears to be statistical noise.
Kerry enjoyed an enormous bounce from positive coverage during the Primary campaign to draw even with Bush. However, in the race for the Democratic nomination, he lost ground among Democrats nationally over the past several days.
The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Survey is updated daily by noon Eastern.
The electorate that Bush and Kerry are trying to reach has a generally positive view of American society. Sixty percent (60%) say that our nation is generally fair and decent. Another survey found that 64% prefer smaller government with fewer services and lower taxes.
A related survey shows that South Dakota Senator Tom Daschle holds a slight lead over Republican challenger John Thune in what is likely to be one of the most closely watched campaigns this season.
At the national level, on the key issue of managing the economy, the candidates are practically even. Forty-six percent (46%) of voters prefer Bush on the economy while 44% prefer Kerry. Rasmussen Reports updates this issue comparison on a weekly basis.
While Kerry holds a modest lead in the latest poll, Bush is seen as the better leader by 46% of voters. Just 35% see Kerry as a better leader than Bush.
In recent days, Rasmussen Reports has released data showing who voters trust more on key issues ranging from the economy and national defense to gun control and affirmative action. We also found that voters trust Kerry more than Bush on the issue of controlling government spending.
Another release provides a look at voter first impressions of the two candidates. While Republicans want to present Kerry as a Massachusetts liberal, just 37% currently see the Senator a politically liberal. A narrow plurality see him as a moderate.
Rasmussen Reports measures the nation's economic confidence on a daily basis. Perceptions of the President's economic management and overall approval ratings often move up and down in synch with the confidence of Consumers and Investors.
One critical issue in this year's election is job creation. A report issued last week shows that 31% of American workers say their firms are hiring at this time. Only 16% are decreasing their workforce. The number of workers worried about losing their job has fallen to the lowest level in a year.
Finally, Rasmussen Reports looked back to see how John Kerry became such a dominant front-runner so quickly after trailing just about everybody in December. Kerry was helped enormously by the fact that his rivals all built strategies designed to challenge former front-runner Howard Dean.
In terms of earning the right to face Bush this November, Kerry is far and away the top choice of Democrats from across the nation.