lilduckling, excellent post/thread.
You have hit the issue dead center.
My road in trading was also full of disappointments, constant up and downs until I realized certain things most of which you are mentioning in your post.
I strongly believe that for any trader to succeed it takes a certain set of mind, capital and personal time with the market.
You donât need secret Fibonacci cluster software, ma's, RSI's, super holy grail indicators. What you do need is simply enough capital and discipline to last you through the learning process until you "get" it. And yes the fog does lift eventually. After looking at charts full time over couple of years and during live market hours it is hard not to start seeing things.
In regards to trading systems.. You can have 2 guys sitting literarily side by side trading the same system. One trying to follow the other and one may still loose money while the othe is making nice profit consistently.
We all have different psychological backgrounds and what works for one may not work for others. If one is a PHD for example, the going will be tougher than it would for my 10 year old. It is because highly educated people think they can outsmart the market. At the end the market ALWAYS humbles them one way or another.
I for trade with bar charts only using only volume and price patterns. A dear friend of mine trades with candles only, ma's stochs and also does well. He sees "hammers" I see consolidations/triangles, etc. Yet many times we will be in the same trade without knowing it.
One needs an intimate time with the markets without the chat rooms, voice rooms and other bs to start making sense of all this and start being consistently profitable.
You really donât need the news, pe ratios and other bs to trade effectively. Its not the news that moves the market but the reaction to the news. How many times a good trader will get into the trade with momentum, make good entry/exit and later he will see some news and think aaaaah that is why it moved.
I like trading stocks on nasdaq, you might like forex or some other form. If a trader finds the market and strategy that is compatible with his psychology he will do fine. Couple that with great discipline and unlearning all that you have learned since you were a little child and you will perfect your trading. (money will be just a byproduct) 15-20 trades a day, trading only when things move, staying out of chop, taking care of your body and soul and 2, 3 pts a day consistently are totally doable.
I also wonder how do some folks have time to post 1000âs or posts on this forum, no offense just wondering.
Its important what you see, not what you think you see..